Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 61%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$-1.6K

Smart Money Signal

11 of 19 top traders (58%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,760

Combined PnL$-1.6K

Down8 traders

Total Value$932.46

Total Shares932

Combined PnL+$23.71

Up — 58%Down — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Upavg 58.2¢	$1.3K	—	$-1.3K	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.9¢	$734.58	$742.81	+$8.23	98% 3543-73 (3616)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.5¢	$509.43	$500	+$3.5	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.4¢	$246.88	$500	+$253.7
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.5¢	$250.25	—	-$250.2
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR	Upavg 45.1¢	$146.81	—	-$146.81	58% 3585-2599 (6184)
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Upavg 61.1¢	$155.52	$79.95	-$75.56	50% 480-487 (967)
└ Up leg	Upavg 61.1¢	$137.01	—	-$137.01
└ Down leg	Downavg 23.1¢	$18.5	$79.95	+$61.45
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 59¢	$149.95	$112.69	+$1.32	54% 2251-1949 (4200)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 54.9¢	$78.48	—	-$53.52	52% 2153-1992 (4145)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 51.1¢	$43.53	—	-$43.53	50% 1846-1828 (3674)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 65.5¢	$48.43	$38.73	-$8.12	43% 1163-1539 (2702)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 67¢	$24.23	—	-$24.23	47% 2083-2336 (4419)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Upavg 73¢	$10.95	—	-$10.95	71% 1551-630 (2181)
AL almach<$100	Downavg 40¢	$7.04	$17.61	+$10.56	50% 1354-1329 (2683)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 47.4¢	$5.78	$12.21	+$6.43	48% 1194-1295 (2489)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 22¢	$5.04	—	-$5.04	43% 1993-2596 (4589)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 54¢	$3.73	—	-$3.73	46% 2653-3138 (5791)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 34¢	$2.04	$6	+$3.96	42% 1609-2196 (3805)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 44.6¢	$0.91	$2.03	+$1.12	47% 1998-2233 (4231)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 46¢	$0.17	$0.38	+$0.2	50% 770-773 (1543)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1317-2199 (3516)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 30.3¢	$9.43	—	-$9.43	47% 2043-2283 (4326)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 18¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	49% 2315-2365 (4680)