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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Down 86%

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

$200.4

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 14 top traders (86%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,565

Combined PnL+$379.4

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares299

Combined PnL-$179

Down — 86%Up — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 49.8¢	$503.9	$500	+$11.7	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 46.4¢	$200.9	$347.04	+$146.13	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 60.4¢	$162.71	$269.6	+$106.89	58% 3585-2599 (6184)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$189.09	$191	+$1.91	98% 3543-73 (3616)
AS aswfadq1555CTR	Upavg 46¢	$175.27	—	-$175.27	50% 480-487 (967)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 42.4¢	$21.2	$50	+$28.8	43% 1993-2596 (4589)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 73.3¢	$35.54	$40	+$4.46	54% 2251-1949 (4200)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 41.9¢	$15.51	$37	+$21.49	47% 2083-2336 (4419)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 47.4¢	$18.63	$39.32	+$20.7	59% 3587-2446 (6033)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 46¢	$22.54	$49	+$26.46	50% 1846-1828 (3674)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 74.1¢	$87.27	$15	+$2.47	52% 2153-1992 (4145)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 54.3¢	$13.31	$15	+$1.69	43% 1163-1539 (2702)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 43.2¢	$5.09	$11.79	+$6.7	50% 770-773 (1543)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$3.73	—	-$3.73	46% 2653-3138 (5791)

Invested

$503.9

Value

$500

PnL

+$11.7

Record

54%

3373-2881 (6254)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$200.9

Value

$347.04

PnL

+$146.13

Record

50%

3041-2991 (6032)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$162.71

Value

$269.6

PnL

+$106.89

Record

58%

3585-2599 (6184)

Invested

$189.09

Value

$191

PnL

+$1.91

Record

98%

3543-73 (3616)

Invested

$175.27

Value

—

PnL

-$175.27

Record

50%

480-487 (967)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$21.2

Value

$50

PnL

+$28.8

Record

43%

1993-2596 (4589)

Invested

$35.54

Value

$40

PnL

+$4.46

Record

54%

2251-1949 (4200)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$15.51

Value

$37

PnL

+$21.49

Record

47%

2083-2336 (4419)

Invested

$18.63

Value

$39.32

PnL

+$20.7

Record

59%

3587-2446 (6033)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$22.54

Value

$49

PnL

+$26.46

Record

50%

1846-1828 (3674)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$87.27

Value

$15

PnL

+$2.47

Record

52%

2153-1992 (4145)

Invested

$13.31

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.69

Record

43%

1163-1539 (2702)

Invested

$5.09

Value

$11.79

PnL

+$6.7

Record

50%

770-773 (1543)

suntoriCTR<$100

Invested

$3.73

Value

—

PnL

-$3.73

Record

46%

2653-3138 (5791)

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 14 top traders (86%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1b0ef41a...07df97

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794672000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $500

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $347.04

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $269.6

hoodquant

Down — $191

aswfadq1555

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $50

ply-pm2

Down — $40

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $37

aaa221

Down — $39.32

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $49

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