Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Down 59%
$2.4K
-$299.89
Smart Money Signal
11 of 18 top traders (61%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 55Β’ | $916.42 | $971.79 | +$62.16 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.6Β’ | $684.54 | $694 | +$9.46 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.3Β’ | $518.44 | β | -$495.98 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 53.3Β’ | $339.03 | $350.63 | +$30.38 | 50% 480-487 (967) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 55.7Β’ | $76.73 | $98.5 | +$55.35 | 58% 3585-2599 (6184) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 67.9Β’ | $75.72 | $70.54 | -$5.18 | 52% 2153-1992 (4145) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 70.3Β’ | $117.91 | $62.51 | -$2.34 | 54% 2251-1949 (4200) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 43.3Β’ | $37.03 | $67 | +$29.97 | 43% 1993-2596 (4589) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 59.8Β’ | $21.35 | $26.01 | +$7.42 | 43% 1163-1539 (2702) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 36Β’ | $16.1 | $40 | +$23.9 | 47% 1998-2233 (4231) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $22 | β | -$22 | 50% 1846-1828 (3674) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $15.75 | $35 | +$19.25 | 48% 1194-1295 (2489) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.3Β’ | $5.45 | β | -$5.45 | 47% 2083-2336 (4419) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.8Β’ | $16.3 | β | -$3.55 | 47% 2043-2283 (4326) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 54Β’ | $3.73 | β | -$3.73 | 46% 2653-3138 (5791) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 36Β’ | $2.16 | β | -$2.16 | 42% 1609-2196 (3805) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $1.2 | β | -$1.2 | 49% 2315-2365 (4680) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 60Β’ | $12 | β | +$3.8 | 59% 3587-2446 (6033) |
Invested
$916.42
Value
$971.79
PnL
+$62.16
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
Invested
$684.54
Value
$694
PnL
+$9.46
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
Invested
$518.44
Value
β
PnL
-$495.98
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Invested
$339.03
Value
$350.63
PnL
+$30.38
Record
50%
480-487 (967)
Invested
$76.73
Value
$98.5
PnL
+$55.35
Record
58%
3585-2599 (6184)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$75.72
Value
$70.54
PnL
-$5.18
Record
52%
2153-1992 (4145)
Invested
$117.91
Value
$62.51
PnL
-$2.34
Record
54%
2251-1949 (4200)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$37.03
Value
$67
PnL
+$29.97
Record
43%
1993-2596 (4589)
Invested
$21.35
Value
$26.01
PnL
+$7.42
Record
43%
1163-1539 (2702)
ohioism<$100Invested
$16.1
Value
$40
PnL
+$23.9
Record
47%
1998-2233 (4231)
Invested
$22
Value
β
PnL
-$22
Record
50%
1846-1828 (3674)
Invested
$15.75
Value
$35
PnL
+$19.25
Record
48%
1194-1295 (2489)
Invested
$5.45
Value
β
PnL
-$5.45
Record
47%
2083-2336 (4419)
Invested
$16.3
Value
β
PnL
-$3.55
Record
47%
2043-2283 (4326)
Invested
$3.73
Value
β
PnL
-$3.73
Record
46%
2653-3138 (5791)
Invested
$2.16
Value
β
PnL
-$2.16
Record
42%
1609-2196 (3805)
Invested
$1.2
Value
β
PnL
-$1.2
Record
49%
2315-2365 (4680)
Invested
$12
Value
β
PnL
+$3.8
Record
59%
3587-2446 (6033)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $971.79
hoodquant
Down β $694
ByteBadger92
CTRUp β $0
aswfadq1555
Down β $350.63
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $98.5

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $70.54
ply-pm2
Down β $62.51

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $67
13897651
Down β $26.01

ohioism
Down β $40