Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.8K

Combined PnL

-$24.62

Smart Money Signal

Down

13 of 19 top traders (68%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down13 traders

Total Value$3.3K

Total Shares3,312

Combined PnL+$123.33

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,365

Combined PnL-$147.95

Down — 68%Up — 32%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 66.8¢	$1.7K	$1.5K	-$122.5	50% 3000-2949 (5949)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$806.24	$814.38	+$8.14	98% 3454-73 (3527)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.1¢	$526.24	$490	+$1.3	54% 3302-2813 (6115)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.2¢	$246.02	$490	+$250.8
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.1¢	$250.32	—	-$249.5
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 43.9¢	$175.52	$400	+$224.48	58% 3566-2579 (6145)
AS aswfadq1555	Downavg 57.2¢	$385.38	$349.17	-$24.4	50% 472-477 (949)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 92.4¢	$116.95	$75	-$37.55	52% 2111-1963 (4074)
MO mo-money<$100	Downavg 45¢	$15	$29.99	+$15	49% 1308-1342 (2650)
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 93.5¢	$187.57	$24.44	+$7.67	54% 2215-1915 (4130)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 44.4¢	$18.45	$41.54	+$23.1	50% 747-748 (1495)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 32¢	$10.15	$20	+$9.85	47% 1989-2244 (4233)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 79¢	$7.9	$10	+$2.1	47% 2034-2298 (4332)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 79¢	$3.95	$5	+$1.05	71% 1515-611 (2126)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 66¢	$3.3	$5	+$1.7	43% 1145-1523 (2668)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Upavg 7¢	$22.41	—	+$18.16	51% 4575-4432 (9007)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 6.8¢	$44.05	—	-$44.05	44% 1957-2530 (4487)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 17.2¢	$108.86	—	-$108.86	50% 2139-2136 (4275)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 6¢	$1.02	—	-$1.02	49% 2260-2317 (4577)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 27¢	$10.8	—	-$10.8	47% 1969-2182 (4151)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$1.38	—	-$1.38	42% 1545-2147 (3692)
AL almach<$100	Downavg 45¢	$15.3	$0	+$14.7	50% 1325-1312 (2637)