Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
$2.5K
-$180.8
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 76.6¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | -$83.43 | 50% 3000-2949 (5949) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $516.77 | $495 | -$1.94 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $246.81 | $495 | +$250.35 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $252.5 | — | -$252.29 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 82¢ | $327.39 | $399.3 | +$71.91 | 58% 3566-2579 (6145) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 64.7¢ | $92.82 | $117 | +$29.18 | 50% 472-477 (949) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98.4¢ | $85.63 | $87 | +$1.37 | 98% 3454-73 (3527) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $77.87 | $80.78 | +$2.91 | 43% 1145-1523 (2668) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 78.9¢ | $92.38 | $76.38 | -$8.09 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $21.38 | — | -$21.38 | 60% 3539-2389 (5928) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.9¢ | $16.85 | — | -$16.85 | 44% 1957-2530 (4487) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $7.7 | $8 | +$1.82 | 52% 2111-1963 (4074) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $7.73 | $5 | -$2.73 | 47% 1969-2182 (4151) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $5.57 | $10.71 | +$5.14 | 50% 747-748 (1495) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | 71% 1515-611 (2126) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | 47% 2034-2298 (4332) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 25¢ | $146.76 | — | -$146.76 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $7 | — | -$7 | 47% 1989-2244 (4233) |
Invested
$1,345.64
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$83.43
Record
50%
3000-2949 (5949)
Invested
$516.77
Value
$495
PnL
-$1.94
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Both legs:
Invested
$327.39
Value
$399.3
PnL
+$71.91
Record
58%
3566-2579 (6145)
Invested
$92.82
Value
$117
PnL
+$29.18
Record
50%
472-477 (949)
Invested
$85.63
Value
$87
PnL
+$1.37
Record
98%
3454-73 (3527)
Invested
$77.87
Value
$80.78
PnL
+$2.91
Record
43%
1145-1523 (2668)
Invested
$92.38
Value
$76.38
PnL
-$8.09
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
Invested
$21.38
Value
—
PnL
-$21.38
Record
60%
3539-2389 (5928)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$16.85
Value
—
PnL
-$16.85
Record
44%
1957-2530 (4487)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$7.7
Value
$8
PnL
+$1.82
Record
52%
2111-1963 (4074)
ohioism<$100Invested
$7.73
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.73
Record
47%
1969-2182 (4151)
Invested
$5.57
Value
$10.71
PnL
+$5.14
Record
50%
747-748 (1495)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
71%
1515-611 (2126)
Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
47%
2034-2298 (4332)
Invested
$146.76
Value
—
PnL
-$146.76
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
Invested
$7
Value
—
PnL
-$7
Record
47%
1989-2244 (4233)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.3K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $399.3
aswfadq1555
Up — $117
hoodquant
Up — $87
13897651
Up — $80.78
ply-pm2
Up — $76.38
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $8