Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 54%
2 arb excluded
$996.8
-$260.51
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $512.62 | $511 | +$15.63 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.1¢ | $243.4 | — | -$241.42 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $253.95 | $511 | +$257.05 | |
13 13897651CTR | Downavg 56.4¢ | $195.64 | — | -$191.34 | 43% 1127-1510 (2637) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 58.5¢ | $199.9 | $191.69 | +$20.98 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 58.5¢ | $89.94 | — | -$91.24 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.7¢ | $79.9 | $191.69 | +$112.22 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 49.1¢ | $80.86 | $112.36 | +$36.7 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 94.7¢ | $61.53 | $65 | +$3.48 | 71% 1474-604 (2078) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 57.4¢ | $47.74 | $43.89 | -$3.85 | 52% 2078-1939 (4017) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.2¢ | $33.8 | — | -$33.8 | 47% 1960-2212 (4172) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $17.25 | $25 | +$7.75 | 48% 1943-2144 (4087) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $19.8 | $20 | +$0.2 | 98% 3400-72 (3472) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $18.5 | — | -$18.5 | 47% 2004-2262 (4266) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 38.4¢ | $4.42 | $11.5 | +$7.08 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $8.2 | $16.36 | +$8.16 | 50% 467-468 (935) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 42% 1499-2108 (3607) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 55.9¢ | $49.77 | — | -$4.22 | 58% 3554-2561 (6115) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 59.8¢ | $70.2 | — | -$70.2 | 48% 166-178 (344) |
Invested
$512.62
Value
$511
PnL
+$15.63
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Both legs:
Invested
$195.64
Value
—
PnL
-$191.34
Record
43%
1127-1510 (2637)
Invested
$199.9
Value
$191.69
PnL
+$20.98
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
Both legs:
Invested
$80.86
Value
$112.36
PnL
+$36.7
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$61.53
Value
$65
PnL
+$3.48
Record
71%
1474-604 (2078)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$47.74
Value
$43.89
PnL
-$3.85
Record
52%
2078-1939 (4017)
Invested
$33.8
Value
—
PnL
-$33.8
Record
47%
1960-2212 (4172)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$7.75
Record
48%
1943-2144 (4087)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.2
Record
98%
3400-72 (3472)
Invested
$18.5
Value
—
PnL
-$18.5
Record
47%
2004-2262 (4266)
Invested
$4.42
Value
$11.5
PnL
+$7.08
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
Invested
$8.2
Value
$16.36
PnL
+$8.16
Record
50%
467-468 (935)
Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
42%
1499-2108 (3607)
Invested
$49.77
Value
—
PnL
-$4.22
Record
58%
3554-2561 (6115)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$70.2
Value
—
PnL
-$70.2
Record
48%
166-178 (344)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Up — $112.36
BoneOhio
Up — $65
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $43.89
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $25
hoodquant
Up — $20
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0