Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$1.4K
-$7.14
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$1 | 54% 3222-2710 (5932) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $248.68 | β | -$249 | |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $408.03 | $408.44 | +$0.41 | 51% 1297-1233 (2530) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 85.9Β’ | $183.13 | $203.12 | +$29.49 | 58% 3542-2552 (6094) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 74Β’ | $158.76 | $159.5 | +$31.39 | 51% 2945-2881 (5826) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $74.25 | $75 | +$0.75 | 98% 3371-72 (3443) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $11.7 | $30 | +$18.3 | 47% 1993-2245 (4238) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 84.9Β’ | $74.18 | $30.2 | -$0.84 | 54% 2171-1861 (4032) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.9Β’ | $14.3 | β | -$14.3 | 50% 461-464 (925) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.2Β’ | $13.67 | β | -$13.67 | 43% 1118-1501 (2619) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $9.1 | β | -$9.1 | 60% 3476-2322 (5798) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.8Β’ | $22.81 | β | -$22.81 | 41% 1475-2082 (3557) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.9Β’ | $26.9 | β | -$26.9 | 50% 2078-2073 (4151) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 5Β’ | $0.5 | β | -$0.5 | 44% 1915-2467 (4382) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 86Β’ | $4.3 | β | +$0.65 | 52% 2057-1924 (3981) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
3222-2710 (5932)
Both legs:
Invested
$408.03
Value
$408.44
PnL
+$0.41
Record
51%
1297-1233 (2530)
Invested
$183.13
Value
$203.12
PnL
+$29.49
Record
58%
3542-2552 (6094)
Invested
$158.76
Value
$159.5
PnL
+$31.39
Record
51%
2945-2881 (5826)
Invested
$74.25
Value
$75
PnL
+$0.75
Record
98%
3371-72 (3443)
Invested
$11.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$18.3
Record
47%
1993-2245 (4238)
Invested
$74.18
Value
$30.2
PnL
-$0.84
Record
54%
2171-1861 (4032)
Invested
$14.3
Value
β
PnL
-$14.3
Record
50%
461-464 (925)
Invested
$13.67
Value
β
PnL
-$13.67
Record
43%
1118-1501 (2619)
Invested
$9.1
Value
β
PnL
-$9.1
Record
60%
3476-2322 (5798)
Invested
$22.81
Value
β
PnL
-$22.81
Record
41%
1475-2082 (3557)
Invested
$26.9
Value
β
PnL
-$26.9
Record
50%
2078-2073 (4151)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
β
PnL
-$0.5
Record
44%
1915-2467 (4382)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
β
PnL
+$0.65
Record
52%
2057-1924 (3981)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x50f7
Up β $408.44
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up β $203.12
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $159.5
hoodquant
Up β $75
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $30
ply-pm2
Up β $30.2
aswfadq1555
CTRDown β $0
13897651
CTRDown β $0
aaa221
CTRDown β $0