Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 54%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$985.88

Combined PnL

-$86.21

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down7 traders

Total Value$485.88

Total Shares486

Combined PnL+$95.95

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,167

Combined PnL-$182.17

Down — 54%Up — 46%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$504.7	$500	-$3	54% 3222-2710 (5932)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$249.71	—	-$253
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 75¢	$196.47	$248.79	+$52.32	51% 2945-2881 (5826)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 87.4¢	$69.94	$80	+$10.06	52% 2057-1924 (3981)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 52.9¢	$26.45	$50	+$23.55	50% 1772-1760 (3532)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 80.2¢	$25.66	$32	+$6.34	58% 3542-2552 (6094)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 84¢	$31.28	$30.09	+$1.89	60% 3476-2322 (5798)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 75¢	$22.71	$25	+$2.29	43% 1118-1501 (2619)
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$20.5	—	-$20.5	50% 461-464 (925)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 83¢	$20.5	$20	-$0.5	54% 2171-1861 (4032)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	$4.7	—	-$4.7	50% 725-729 (1454)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 10¢	$0.5	—	-$0.5	50% 2078-2073 (4151)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 25¢	$1.14	—	-$1.14	44% 1915-2467 (4382)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR	Upavg 13.3¢	$138.88	—	-$138.88	41% 1475-2082 (3557)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	$16.45	—	-$16.45	48% 1143-1235 (2378)