Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 63%
$1.4K
-$474
Smart Money Signal
10 of 17 top traders (59%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $541.67 | $547.52 | +$5.86 | 98% 3320-70 (3390) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.8¢ | $521.66 | — | -$492.9 | 55% 3173-2646 (5819) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 67.2¢ | $245.45 | $276.97 | +$31.53 | 51% 2914-2831 (5745) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $166.83 | $167 | +$0.17 | 51% 1285-1221 (2506) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $96.58 | $98.41 | +$6.68 | 54% 2138-1828 (3966) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 92.6¢ | $84.55 | $89.95 | +$5.4 | 58% 3530-2534 (6064) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $72.1 | $68.91 | -$3.2 | 42% 1095-1493 (2588) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $59.49 | $56 | -$3.49 | 50% 457-452 (909) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $30.45 | $34.44 | +$8.23 | 47% 1965-2218 (4183) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 55.3¢ | $25.27 | $45.67 | +$20.4 | 50% 1731-1732 (3463) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $14.08 | $17.76 | +$3.68 | 60% 3418-2292 (5710) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 51.7¢ | $50.49 | — | -$32.15 | 52% 2019-1897 (3916) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 50% 705-716 (1421) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3¢ | $11.66 | — | -$11.66 | 44% 1886-2437 (4323) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $4.24 | — | -$4.24 | 50% 2065-2056 (4121) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.2¢ | $2.58 | — | -$2.58 | 41% 1439-2039 (3478) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $7.47 | — | -$5.23 | 46% 2530-3008 (5538) |
Invested
$541.67
Value
$547.52
PnL
+$5.86
Record
98%
3320-70 (3390)
Invested
$521.66
Value
—
PnL
-$492.9
Record
55%
3173-2646 (5819)
Invested
$245.45
Value
$276.97
PnL
+$31.53
Record
51%
2914-2831 (5745)
Invested
$166.83
Value
$167
PnL
+$0.17
Record
51%
1285-1221 (2506)
Invested
$96.58
Value
$98.41
PnL
+$6.68
Record
54%
2138-1828 (3966)
Invested
$84.55
Value
$89.95
PnL
+$5.4
Record
58%
3530-2534 (6064)
Invested
$72.1
Value
$68.91
PnL
-$3.2
Record
42%
1095-1493 (2588)
Invested
$59.49
Value
$56
PnL
-$3.49
Record
50%
457-452 (909)
Invested
$30.45
Value
$34.44
PnL
+$8.23
Record
47%
1965-2218 (4183)
Invested
$25.27
Value
$45.67
PnL
+$20.4
Record
50%
1731-1732 (3463)
Invested
$14.08
Value
$17.76
PnL
+$3.68
Record
60%
3418-2292 (5710)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$50.49
Value
—
PnL
-$32.15
Record
52%
2019-1897 (3916)
Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
50%
705-716 (1421)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$11.66
Value
—
PnL
-$11.66
Record
44%
1886-2437 (4323)
Invested
$4.24
Value
—
PnL
-$4.24
Record
50%
2065-2056 (4121)
Invested
$2.58
Value
—
PnL
-$2.58
Record
41%
1439-2039 (3478)
Invested
$7.47
Value
—
PnL
-$5.23
Record
46%
2530-3008 (5538)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $547.52
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $276.97
0x50f7
Down — $167
ply-pm2
Down — $98.41
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $89.95
13897651
Down — $68.91
aswfadq1555
Down — $56
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $34.44
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $45.67