Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Up 46%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

$9.23

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 14 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$533.74

Total Shares534

Combined PnL+$121.79

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares393

Combined PnL-$112.57

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$502.61	$495	-$0.37	55% 3173-2646 (5819)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$247.5	$495	+$247.65
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.3¢	$246.69	—	-$248.02
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 79.2¢	$334.05	$372.85	+$69.35	51% 2914-2831 (5745)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 61.2¢	$40.65	$66.37	+$25.72	52% 2019-1897 (3916)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 57.7¢	$38.28	$52.9	+$18.52	42% 1095-1493 (2588)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 46¢	$51.48	—	-$51.48	58% 3530-2534 (6064)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 90¢	$22.8	$20	-$2.8	54% 2138-1828 (3966)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 50.6¢	$8.1	$16	+$7.9	50% 705-716 (1421)
AL almachCTR<$100	Downavg 20¢	$4	—	-$4	50% 1276-1266 (2542)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 44¢	$2.2	$5	+$2.8	44% 1886-2437 (4323)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Downavg 21¢	$1	—	-$1	51% 4524-4391 (8915)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Downavg 20¢	$0.98	—	-$0.98	50% 1265-1289 (2554)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 51¢	$0.31	$0.61	+$0.3	50% 1731-1732 (3463)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 16.6¢	$29.65	—	-$29.65	50% 2065-2056 (4121)
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Downavg 21¢	$23.1	—	-$23.1	50% 457-452 (909)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 21.4¢	$2.35	—	-$2.35	41% 1439-2039 (3478)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$502.61

Value

$495

PnL

-$0.37

Record

55%

3173-2646 (5819)

Both legs:

Up$247.550¢+$247.65

Down$246.6949.3¢-$248.02

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$334.05

Value

$372.85

PnL

+$69.35

Record

51%

2914-2831 (5745)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$40.65

Value

$66.37

PnL

+$25.72

Record

52%

2019-1897 (3916)

Invested

$38.28

Value

$52.9

PnL

+$18.52

Record

42%

1095-1493 (2588)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$51.48

Value

—

PnL

-$51.48

Record

58%

3530-2534 (6064)

Invested

$22.8

Value

$20

PnL

-$2.8

Record

54%

2138-1828 (3966)

Invested

$8.1

Value

$16

PnL

+$7.9

Record

50%

705-716 (1421)

Invested

$4

Value

—

PnL

-$4

Record

50%

1276-1266 (2542)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$2.2

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.8

Record

44%

1886-2437 (4323)

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

51%

4524-4391 (8915)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$0.98

Value

—

PnL

-$0.98

Record

50%

1265-1289 (2554)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$0.31

Value

$0.61

PnL

+$0.3

Record

50%

1731-1732 (3463)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$29.65

Value

—

PnL

-$29.65

Record

50%

2065-2056 (4121)

aswfadq1555CTR<$100

Invested

$23.1

Value

—

PnL

-$23.1

Record

50%

457-452 (909)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$2.35

Value

—

PnL

-$2.35

Record

41%

1439-2039 (3478)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 14 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x33cacb04...b478b6

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794646800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $372.85

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $66.37

13897651

Up — $52.9

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $20

PBot-6

Up — $16

almach

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $5

bosona

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket