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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Up 64%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

-$413.14

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$900.2

Total Shares900

Combined PnL+$121.55

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,336

Combined PnL-$534.69

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.5¢	$509.82	$500	+$0.05	55% 3148-2619 (5767)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.5¢	$252.3	$500	+$250.6
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.5¢	$250	—	-$250.55
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$423.72	$428	+$4.28	98% 3296-70 (3366)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 74.2¢	$296.17	$399.03	+$102.86	58% 3514-2517 (6031)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 22.6¢	$476.35	—	-$448.8	51% 2884-2810 (5694)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 66.6¢	$40.45	$35	-$5.45	51% 2002-1886 (3888)
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Downavg 16.5¢	$50.32	—	-$48.64	50% 454-449 (903)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 43.2¢	$20.75	—	-$20.75	54% 2121-1818 (3939)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 22.6¢	$51.13	—	-$11.3	42% 1083-1491 (2574)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 48¢	$4.8	$10	+$5.2	44% 1875-2425 (4300)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 50¢	$5	$10	+$5	50% 702-708 (1410)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$5.2	—	-$5.2	50% 1717-1721 (3438)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 44¢	$2.64	$6	+$3.36	41% 1415-2011 (3426)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 51¢	$2.55	$5	+$2.45	47% 1953-2201 (4154)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 43¢	$2.15	$5	+$2.85	47% 1910-2144 (4054)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 54¢	$1.17	$2.17	+$1	60% 3392-2277 (5669)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$509.82

Value

$500

PnL

+$0.05

Record

55%

3148-2619 (5767)

Both legs:

Up$252.350.5¢+$250.6

Down$25049.5¢-$250.55

Invested

$423.72

Value

$428

PnL

+$4.28

Record

98%

3296-70 (3366)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$296.17

Value

$399.03

PnL

+$102.86

Record

58%

3514-2517 (6031)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$476.35

Value

—

PnL

-$448.8

Record

51%

2884-2810 (5694)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$40.45

Value

$35

PnL

-$5.45

Record

51%

2002-1886 (3888)

aswfadq1555CTR<$100

Invested

$50.32

Value

—

PnL

-$48.64

Record

50%

454-449 (903)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$20.75

Value

—

PnL

-$20.75

Record

54%

2121-1818 (3939)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$51.13

Value

—

PnL

-$11.3

Record

42%

1083-1491 (2574)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.2

Record

44%

1875-2425 (4300)

Invested

$5

Value

$10

PnL

+$5

Record

50%

702-708 (1410)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$5.2

Value

—

PnL

-$5.2

Record

50%

1717-1721 (3438)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$2.64

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.36

Record

41%

1415-2011 (3426)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$2.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.45

Record

47%

1953-2201 (4154)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.15

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.85

Record

47%

1910-2144 (4054)

Invested

$1.17

Value

$2.17

PnL

+$1

Record

60%

3392-2277 (5669)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xd7a05d61...194e26

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794643200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

hoodquant

Up — $428

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $399.03

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $35

aswfadq1555

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

13897651

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $10

PBot-6

Up — $10

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