Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$832.53
-$668.03
Smart Money Signal
7 of 15 top traders (47%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 77.5¢ | $665.51 | $637.32 | -$6.14 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.9¢ | $504.7 | — | -$499.4 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Downavg 27.7¢ | $73.62 | $50.44 | -$23.18 | 50% 454-449 (903) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 27.7¢ | $46.62 | — | -$46.62 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 53.5¢ | $27 | $50.44 | +$23.44 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 94.5¢ | $47.81 | $50.57 | +$2.76 | 60% 3392-2277 (5669) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $42.89 | $29.99 | -$12.9 | 49% 1252-1281 (2533) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 72.6¢ | $20.07 | $25 | +$4.93 | 51% 2002-1886 (3888) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.6¢ | $15.95 | — | -$15.95 | 48% 1893-2072 (3965) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 36.6¢ | $16.27 | — | -$16.27 | 42% 1083-1491 (2574) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $13.2 | — | -$13.2 | 50% 1264-1258 (2522) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $14.16 | $23.21 | +$9.05 | 44% 1875-2425 (4300) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $39.74 | $10.01 | -$5.35 | 54% 2121-1818 (3939) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $3 | $6 | +$3 | 50% 702-708 (1410) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 6.5¢ | $53.02 | — | -$53.02 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.3¢ | $49.48 | — | -$49.48 | 58% 3514-2517 (6031) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 47% 1910-2144 (4054) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $43.04 | — | -$13.05 | 51% 4508-4382 (8890) |
Invested
$665.51
Value
$637.32
PnL
-$6.14
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
Invested
$504.7
Value
—
PnL
-$499.4
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Invested
$73.62
Value
$50.44
PnL
-$23.18
Record
50%
454-449 (903)
Both legs:
Invested
$47.81
Value
$50.57
PnL
+$2.76
Record
60%
3392-2277 (5669)
Invested
$42.89
Value
$29.99
PnL
-$12.9
Record
49%
1252-1281 (2533)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$20.07
Value
$25
PnL
+$4.93
Record
51%
2002-1886 (3888)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$15.95
Value
—
PnL
-$15.95
Record
48%
1893-2072 (3965)
Invested
$16.27
Value
—
PnL
-$16.27
Record
42%
1083-1491 (2574)
Invested
$13.2
Value
—
PnL
-$13.2
Record
50%
1264-1258 (2522)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$14.16
Value
$23.21
PnL
+$9.05
Record
44%
1875-2425 (4300)
Invested
$39.74
Value
$10.01
PnL
-$5.35
Record
54%
2121-1818 (3939)
Invested
$3
Value
$6
PnL
+$3
Record
50%
702-708 (1410)
Invested
$53.02
Value
—
PnL
-$53.02
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
Invested
$49.48
Value
—
PnL
-$49.48
Record
58%
3514-2517 (6031)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
47%
1910-2144 (4054)
Invested
$43.04
Value
—
PnL
-$13.05
Record
51%
4508-4382 (8890)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $637.32
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Up — $50.57
mo-money
Up — $29.99
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $25
ohioism
CTRDown — $0
13897651
CTRDown — $0
almach
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $23.21