Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 80%
$1.6K
-$128.61
Smart Money Signal
12 of 15 top traders (80%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $571.2 | $571.77 | +$0.57 | 51% 1264-1206 (2470) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $508.6 | $497.92 | +$2.42 | 55% 3113-2587 (5700) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 77.7¢ | $309.59 | $305.78 | +$26.94 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 94.4¢ | $99.1 | $105 | +$5.9 | 58% 3492-2495 (5987) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $41.6 | $32 | -$9.6 | 50% 448-445 (893) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 62.4¢ | $34.78 | $32.31 | -$2.06 | 42% 1071-1482 (2553) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 97.7¢ | $41 | $30 | -$0.91 | 51% 1978-1872 (3850) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $32.64 | $20 | -$2.25 | 54% 2104-1796 (3900) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $11.55 | $15 | +$3.45 | 47% 1893-2128 (4021) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $5.78 | $17 | +$11.22 | 47% 1939-2183 (4122) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $3.57 | $7 | +$3.43 | 44% 1860-2404 (4264) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $3 | $6 | +$3 | 50% 694-702 (1396) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 9.4¢ | $170.55 | — | -$170.55 | 41% 1393-1983 (3376) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.8¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 51% 4490-4374 (8864) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1244-2078 (3322) |
Invested
$571.2
Value
$571.77
PnL
+$0.57
Record
51%
1264-1206 (2470)
Invested
$508.6
Value
$497.92
PnL
+$2.42
Record
55%
3113-2587 (5700)
Invested
$309.59
Value
$305.78
PnL
+$26.94
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
Invested
$99.1
Value
$105
PnL
+$5.9
Record
58%
3492-2495 (5987)
Invested
$41.6
Value
$32
PnL
-$9.6
Record
50%
448-445 (893)
Invested
$34.78
Value
$32.31
PnL
-$2.06
Record
42%
1071-1482 (2553)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$41
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.91
Record
51%
1978-1872 (3850)
Invested
$32.64
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.25
Record
54%
2104-1796 (3900)
Invested
$11.55
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.45
Record
47%
1893-2128 (4021)
Invested
$5.78
Value
$17
PnL
+$11.22
Record
47%
1939-2183 (4122)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.57
Value
$7
PnL
+$3.43
Record
44%
1860-2404 (4264)
Invested
$3
Value
$6
PnL
+$3
Record
50%
694-702 (1396)
Invested
$170.55
Value
—
PnL
-$170.55
Record
41%
1393-1983 (3376)
Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
51%
4490-4374 (8864)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1244-2078 (3322)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $571.77
ByteBadger92
Down — $497.92
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $305.78
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $105
aswfadq1555
Down — $32
13897651
Down — $32.31
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $30
ply-pm2
Down — $20
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $15
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $17