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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Up 54%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$31.09

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$623.72

Total Shares624

Combined PnL+$157.13

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,436

Combined PnL-$188.22

Up — 57%Down — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.7¢	$512.69	$500.01	-$4.64	55% 3113-2587 (5700)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.7¢	$253.53	$500.01	+$248.8
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$251.6	—	-$253.44
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 66.3¢	$363.02	$454.6	+$136.93	51% 2869-2774 (5643)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$83.41	$83.49	+$0.08	51% 1264-1206 (2470)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Upavg 48.7¢	$11.3	$19.72	+$8.42	50% 448-445 (893)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 81¢	$23.84	$29.43	+$5.59	60% 3365-2262 (5627)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 72.9¢	$17.26	$16.12	+$0.12	42% 1071-1482 (2553)
AL almachCTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$1.8	—	-$1.8	50% 1247-1249 (2496)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$1.8	—	-$1.8	49% 1236-1272 (2508)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 69.9¢	$25.45	$10.25	+$0.8	54% 2104-1796 (3900)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 53.2¢	$5.38	$10.11	+$4.73	50% 1696-1707 (3403)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR	Downavg 10¢	$127.9	—	-$127.9	41% 1393-1983 (3376)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	51% 4490-4374 (8864)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR	Downavg 38.4¢	$111.32	—	-$52.93	58% 3492-2495 (5987)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$3.73	—	-$3.73	45% 2465-2964 (5429)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 95¢	$14.25	—	+$0.45	51% 1978-1872 (3850)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$512.69

Value

$500.01

PnL

-$4.64

Record

55%

3113-2587 (5700)

Both legs:

Up$253.5350.7¢+$248.8

Down$251.649.9¢-$253.44

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$363.02

Value

$454.6

PnL

+$136.93

Record

51%

2869-2774 (5643)

Invested

$83.41

Value

$83.49

PnL

+$0.08

Record

51%

1264-1206 (2470)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$11.3

Value

$19.72

PnL

+$8.42

Record

50%

448-445 (893)

Invested

$23.84

Value

$29.43

PnL

+$5.59

Record

60%

3365-2262 (5627)

Invested

$17.26

Value

$16.12

PnL

+$0.12

Record

42%

1071-1482 (2553)

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

50%

1247-1249 (2496)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

49%

1236-1272 (2508)

Invested

$25.45

Value

$10.25

PnL

+$0.8

Record

54%

2104-1796 (3900)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$5.38

Value

$10.11

PnL

+$4.73

Record

50%

1696-1707 (3403)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR

Invested

$127.9

Value

—

PnL

-$127.9

Record

41%

1393-1983 (3376)

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

51%

4490-4374 (8864)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR

Invested

$111.32

Value

—

PnL

-$52.93

Record

58%

3492-2495 (5987)

suntoriCTR<$100

Invested

$3.73

Value

—

PnL

-$3.73

Record

45%

2465-2964 (5429)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$14.25

Value

—

PnL

+$0.45

Record

51%

1978-1872 (3850)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfe093421...d5c4bf

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794638700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $454.6

0x50f7

Up — $83.49

aswfadq1555

Up — $19.72

aaa221

Up — $29.43

13897651

Up — $16.12

almach

Down — $0

mo-money

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $10.25

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $10.11

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