Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 57%
2 arb excluded
$7.1K
-$400.13
Smart Money Signal
12 of 21 top traders (57%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$3 | 51% 1235-1184 (2419) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 74.2¢ | $1.6K | $1.3K | -$192.81 | 51% 2812-2714 (5526) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.7¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$16.5 | 98% 3131-65 (3196) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 44.9¢ | $565.81 | $775.36 | +$220.4 | 50% 436-435 (871) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.4¢ | $513.3 | — | -$491.99 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 40.4¢ | $81.24 | $139.51 | +$58.27 | 47% 1854-2076 (3930) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $106.38 | $104.99 | -$1.39 | 54% 2059-1752 (3811) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.8¢ | $52.32 | $104.99 | +$52.67 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 43¢ | $54.06 | — | -$54.06 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 44.2¢ | $85.73 | $103.23 | +$17.5 | 47% 1892-2135 (4027) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 76.9¢ | $99.58 | $91 | -$3.83 | 51% 1930-1826 (3756) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $96.1 | $79.14 | -$16.96 | 48% 1833-1999 (3832) |
 G-Penis-MonsterARB<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $40.55 | $50 | +$9.45 | 44% 1813-2341 (4154) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 36¢ | $17.98 | $50 | +$32.02 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 41¢ | $22.57 | — | -$22.57 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 52.1¢ | $47.31 | $90.8 | +$43.49 | 50% 1672-1674 (3346) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 96.6¢ | $22.36 | $23.14 | +$0.78 | 50% 2202-2243 (4445) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $18.27 | — | -$18.27 | 50% 1219-1216 (2435) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $11.7 | — | -$11.7 | 51% 4461-4339 (8800) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $10 | +$5.1 | 38% 1224-2020 (3244) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $7.33 | — | -$7.33 | 49% 1204-1240 (2444) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 47.5¢ | $5.7 | $12 | +$6.3 | 41% 1336-1928 (3264) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $1.66 | — | -$1.66 | 50% 673-674 (1347) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.8¢ | $51.21 | — | -$51.21 | 59% 3410-2403 (5813) |
13 13897651CTR | Downavg 34.9¢ | $294.24 | — | +$47.38 | 42% 1045-1461 (2506) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.2¢ | $21.25 | — | -$21.25 | 49% 1087-1154 (2241) |
Invested
$2,997
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$3
Record
51%
1235-1184 (2419)
Invested
$1,553.11
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$192.81
Record
51%
2812-2714 (5526)
Invested
$1,266.65
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$16.5
Record
98%
3131-65 (3196)
Invested
$565.81
Value
$775.36
PnL
+$220.4
Record
50%
436-435 (871)
Invested
$513.3
Value
—
PnL
-$491.99
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Invested
$81.24
Value
$139.51
PnL
+$58.27
Record
47%
1854-2076 (3930)
Invested
$106.38
Value
$104.99
PnL
-$1.39
Record
54%
2059-1752 (3811)
Both legs:
Invested
$85.73
Value
$103.23
PnL
+$17.5
Record
47%
1892-2135 (4027)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$99.58
Value
$91
PnL
-$3.83
Record
51%
1930-1826 (3756)
ohioism<$100Invested
$96.1
Value
$79.14
PnL
-$16.96
Record
48%
1833-1999 (3832)
G-Penis-MonsterARB<$100Invested
$40.55
Value
$50
PnL
+$9.45
Record
44%
1813-2341 (4154)
Both legs:
Invested
$47.31
Value
$90.8
PnL
+$43.49
Record
50%
1672-1674 (3346)
Invested
$22.36
Value
$23.14
PnL
+$0.78
Record
50%
2202-2243 (4445)
Invested
$18.27
Value
—
PnL
-$18.27
Record
50%
1219-1216 (2435)
Invested
$11.7
Value
—
PnL
-$11.7
Record
51%
4461-4339 (8800)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.1
Record
38%
1224-2020 (3244)
Invested
$7.33
Value
—
PnL
-$7.33
Record
49%
1204-1240 (2444)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.3
Record
41%
1336-1928 (3264)
Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
Invested
$1.66
Value
—
PnL
-$1.66
Record
50%
673-674 (1347)
Invested
$51.21
Value
—
PnL
-$51.21
Record
59%
3410-2403 (5813)
Invested
$294.24
Value
—
PnL
+$47.38
Record
42%
1045-1461 (2506)
Invested
$21.25
Value
—
PnL
-$21.25
Record
49%
1087-1154 (2241)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $3.0K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.3K
hoodquant
Up — $1.3K
aswfadq1555
Up — $775.36
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $139.51
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $103.23
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $91
ohioism
Up — $79.14