Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 61%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

$-1.4K

Smart Money Signal

11 of 18 top traders (61%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,752

Combined PnL$-1.6K

Down7 traders

Total Value$766.36

Total Shares766

Combined PnL+$197.32

Up — 61%Down — 39%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Upavg 55.4¢	$1.4K	—	$-1.4K	51% 2812-2714 (5526)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.4¢	$530.42	$490	-$0.8	55% 3034-2491 (5525)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.7¢	$243.57	$490	+$249.2
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.4¢	$252.06	—	-$250
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 63.4¢	$208.13	$328.1	+$119.97	59% 3410-2403 (5813)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.5¢	$303.54	$308.27	+$4.73	98% 3131-65 (3196)
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Upavg 51.6¢	$185.96	$235.93	+$49.97	50% 436-435 (871)
└ Up leg	Upavg 51.6¢	$94.9	—	-$94.9
└ Down leg	Downavg 38.6¢	$91.06	$235.93	+$144.87
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 53.4¢	$81.1	—	-$81.1	51% 1930-1826 (3756)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 46.3¢	$72.4	$59.98	+$3.84	54% 2059-1752 (3811)
└ Down leg	Downavg 44.1¢	$26.44	$59.98	+$34.49
└ Up leg	Upavg 46.3¢	$32.4	—	-$30.65
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 41.6¢	$33.83	—	-$33.83	42% 1045-1461 (2506)
AL almach<$100	Downavg 46¢	$14.48	$30	+$15.52	50% 1219-1216 (2435)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 38.3¢	$37.2	—	-$37.2	47% 1854-2076 (3930)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 57¢	$28.5	—	-$28.5	50% 1672-1674 (3346)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 43¢	$12.9	$30	+$17.1	49% 1087-1154 (2241)
BO bosona<$100	Downavg 46¢	$13.8	$30	+$16.2	51% 4461-4339 (8800)
MO mo-money<$100	Downavg 46¢	$13.8	$30	+$16.2	49% 1204-1240 (2444)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 36.2¢	$31.5	—	-$25.5	47% 1892-2135 (4027)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 59.7¢	$7.29	—	-$7.29	44% 1813-2341 (4154)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 51.5¢	$6.18	—	-$6.18	41% 1336-1928 (3264)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 68¢	$3.4	—	-$3.4	48% 1833-1999 (3832)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 24¢	$2.4	$10	+$7.6	60% 3298-2213 (5511)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$1.12	—	-$1.12	50% 2202-2243 (4445)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	38% 1224-2020 (3244)