Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
17
Up 69%
$272.1
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 17 top traders (65%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.4¢ | $509.86 | — | -$490.58 | 55% 2993-2461 (5454) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 56.7¢ | $464.7 | — | -$444.45 | 51% 2791-2702 (5493) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Upavg 49.1¢ | $406.06 | — | -$405.02 | 50% 428-433 (861) |
 ohioism | Downavg 38.8¢ | $68.24 | $108.07 | +$39.83 | 48% 1808-1977 (3785) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.1¢ | $87.73 | — | -$87.73 | 42% 1035-1453 (2488) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 59.8¢ | $64.57 | $62.25 | -$2.32 | 54% 2039-1735 (3774) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 59.9¢ | $58.11 | — | -$47.97 | 59% 3388-2384 (5772) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 89.6¢ | $31.35 | $35 | +$3.65 | 51% 1912-1810 (3722) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 31.1¢ | $29.35 | — | -$29.35 | 47% 1867-2116 (3983) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $24.88 | $26.44 | +$7.86 | 44% 1797-2312 (4109) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $8.05 | $40.25 | +$32.2 | 71% 1405-563 (1968) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $9.9 | — | -$9.9 | 50% 665-666 (1331) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $9.9 | — | -$9.9 | 47% 1827-2050 (3877) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $4.71 | — | -$4.71 | 49% 1074-1140 (2214) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.6¢ | $5 | — | -$4.19 | 49% 2171-2227 (4398) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $23.52 | $0.09 | -$12.1 | 60% 3273-2196 (5469) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $3.06 | — | -$3.06 | 41% 1300-1898 (3198) |
Invested
$509.86
Value
—
PnL
-$490.58
Record
55%
2993-2461 (5454)
Invested
$464.7
Value
—
PnL
-$444.45
Record
51%
2791-2702 (5493)
Invested
$406.06
Value
—
PnL
-$405.02
Record
50%
428-433 (861)
ohioismInvested
$68.24
Value
$108.07
PnL
+$39.83
Record
48%
1808-1977 (3785)
Invested
$87.73
Value
—
PnL
-$87.73
Record
42%
1035-1453 (2488)
Invested
$64.57
Value
$62.25
PnL
-$2.32
Record
54%
2039-1735 (3774)
Invested
$58.11
Value
—
PnL
-$47.97
Record
59%
3388-2384 (5772)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$31.35
Value
$35
PnL
+$3.65
Record
51%
1912-1810 (3722)
Invested
$29.35
Value
—
PnL
-$29.35
Record
47%
1867-2116 (3983)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$24.88
Value
$26.44
PnL
+$7.86
Record
44%
1797-2312 (4109)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$8.05
Value
$40.25
PnL
+$32.2
Record
71%
1405-563 (1968)
Invested
$9.9
Value
—
PnL
-$9.9
Record
50%
665-666 (1331)
Invested
$9.9
Value
—
PnL
-$9.9
Record
47%
1827-2050 (3877)
Invested
$4.71
Value
—
PnL
-$4.71
Record
49%
1074-1140 (2214)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.19
Record
49%
2171-2227 (4398)
Invested
$23.52
Value
$0.09
PnL
-$12.1
Record
60%
3273-2196 (5469)
Invested
$3.06
Value
—
PnL
-$3.06
Record
41%
1300-1898 (3198)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
aswfadq1555
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $108.07
13897651
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $62.25
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $35
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $26.44