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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$999.03

Combined PnL

$45.36

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$509.03

Total Shares509

Combined PnL+$112.56

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares156

Combined PnL-$67.2

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.6¢	$503.55	$490	-$8.25	55% 2993-2461 (5454)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$245.3
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.6¢	$253.55	—	-$253.55
AS aswfadq1555	Upavg 60.3¢	$226.68	$280.89	+$93.11	50% 428-433 (861)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 88.7¢	$143.48	$161.48	+$18	51% 2791-2702 (5493)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 86¢	$144.14	$19.09	-$3.14	51% 1912-1810 (3722)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 96.5¢	$24.1	$20	-$4.1	54% 2039-1735 (3774)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 71¢	$8.52	$12	+$3.48	41% 1300-1898 (3198)
SU suntori<$100	Upavg 53¢	$5.6	$10.57	+$4.97	46% 2333-2789 (5122)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$8.16	—	-$8.16	47% 1827-2050 (3877)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 95¢	$4.75	$5	+$0.25	42% 1035-1453 (2488)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$4.9	—	-$4.9	50% 665-666 (1331)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 5¢	$0.25	—	-$0.25	44% 1797-2312 (4109)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 43.5¢	$53.89	—	-$53.89	59% 3388-2384 (5772)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$503.55

Value

$490

PnL

-$8.25

Record

55%

2993-2461 (5454)

Both legs:

Up$24550¢+$245.3

Down$253.5549.6¢-$253.55

Invested

$226.68

Value

$280.89

PnL

+$93.11

Record

50%

428-433 (861)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$143.48

Value

$161.48

PnL

+$18

Record

51%

2791-2702 (5493)

Invested

$144.14

Value

$19.09

PnL

-$3.14

Record

51%

1912-1810 (3722)

Invested

$24.1

Value

$20

PnL

-$4.1

Record

54%

2039-1735 (3774)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$8.52

Value

$12

PnL

+$3.48

Record

41%

1300-1898 (3198)

Invested

$5.6

Value

$10.57

PnL

+$4.97

Record

46%

2333-2789 (5122)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$8.16

Value

—

PnL

-$8.16

Record

47%

1827-2050 (3877)

Invested

$4.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.25

Record

42%

1035-1453 (2488)

Invested

$4.9

Value

—

PnL

-$4.9

Record

50%

665-666 (1331)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$0.25

Value

—

PnL

-$0.25

Record

44%

1797-2312 (4109)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$53.89

Value

—

PnL

-$53.89

Record

59%

3388-2384 (5772)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6e5120bb...830414

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794624300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

aswfadq1555

Up — $280.89

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $161.48

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $19.09

ply-pm2

Up — $20

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $12

suntori

Up — $10.57

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

13897651

Up — $5

PBot-6

Down — $0

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