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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

-$15.04

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$900.69

Total Shares901

Combined PnL+$29.41

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares177

Combined PnL-$44.46

Up — 55%Down — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$1	55% 2727-2200 (4927)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$180.79	$180.97	+$0.18	50% 1135-1122 (2257)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 89.7¢	$161.14	$179.72	+$18.58	59% 3299-2310 (5609)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 94.3¢	$245.5	$130.44	-$115.06	51% 2495-2439 (4934)
└ Up leg	Upavg 94.3¢	$123.04	$130.44	+$7.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 6.1¢	$122.46	—	-$122.46
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 60¢	$11.2	$15	+$3.8	54% 1878-1606 (3484)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 40¢	$12	—	-$12	47% 1691-1909 (3600)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 64¢	$11.8	$15	+$3.2	48% 1683-1811 (3494)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 73.5¢	$7.35	$10	+$2.65	41% 966-1381 (2347)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$0.54	—	-$0.54	40% 1121-1688 (2809)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Downavg 13¢	$0.45	—	-$0.45	49% 1097-1145 (2242)
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Downavg 16.1¢	$17.37	—	-$17.37	50% 395-401 (796)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$14.1	—	-$14.1	47% 1726-1951 (3677)

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$1

Record

55%

2727-2200 (4927)

Invested

$180.79

Value

$180.97

PnL

+$0.18

Record

50%

1135-1122 (2257)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$161.14

Value

$179.72

PnL

+$18.58

Record

59%

3299-2310 (5609)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100

Invested

$245.5

Value

$130.44

PnL

-$115.06

Record

51%

2495-2439 (4934)

Both legs:

Up$123.0494.3¢+$7.4

Down$122.466.1¢-$122.46

Invested

$11.2

Value

$15

PnL

+$3.8

Record

54%

1878-1606 (3484)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$12

Value

—

PnL

-$12

Record

47%

1691-1909 (3600)

Invested

$11.8

Value

$15

PnL

+$3.2

Record

48%

1683-1811 (3494)

Invested

$7.35

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.65

Record

41%

966-1381 (2347)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.54

Value

—

PnL

-$0.54

Record

40%

1121-1688 (2809)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

49%

1097-1145 (2242)

aswfadq1555CTR<$100

Invested

$17.37

Value

—

PnL

-$17.37

Record

50%

395-401 (796)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$14.1

Value

—

PnL

-$14.1

Record

47%

1726-1951 (3677)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc8b9bbd0...aa7237

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794593700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

0x50f7

Up — $180.97

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $179.72

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Up — $15

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

ohioism

Up — $15

13897651

Up — $10

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

mo-money

Down — $0

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