Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 33%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

-$407.14

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 15 top traders (33%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares784

Combined PnL-$545.42

Up10 traders

Total Value$355.66

Total Shares356

Combined PnL+$138.28

Down — 33%Up — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 49.8¢	$908.38	$982.51	+$74.13	51% 2495-2439 (4934)
└ Down leg	Downavg 51.2¢	$418.83	—	-$418.83
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$489.55	$982.51	+$492.96
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$520.51	$484.33	-$10.31	55% 2727-2200 (4927)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.3¢	$243.49	$484.33	+$242.47
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$253.35	—	-$252.78
13 13897651ARB<$100	Downavg 50.3¢	$253.81	$251.27	-$2.54	41% 966-1381 (2347)
└ Up leg	Upavg 47.6¢	$119.59	$251.27	+$131.68
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.3¢	$134.22	—	-$134.22
PL ply-pm2CTR	Downavg 50.3¢	$249.92	—	-$233.27	54% 1878-1606 (3484)
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Downavg 58¢	$196.8	$140.39	-$56.41	50% 395-401 (796)
└ Down leg	Downavg 58¢	$127.04	—	-$127.04
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.7¢	$69.76	$140.39	+$70.63
wowitsamazing<$100	Upavg 62¢	$36	$58.06	+$22.06	47% 141-156 (297)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$59.4	$60	+$0.6	98% 2839-60 (2899)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 39.6¢	$39.17	$98.79	+$59.62	60% 3075-2056 (5131)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 65.9¢	$48.84	—	-$32.6	51% 1762-1676 (3438)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 80¢	$20	$25	+$5	72% 1328-513 (1841)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 32.9¢	$10.31	$18.29	+$13.09	49% 2006-2058 (4064)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 44.3¢	$13.3	$30	+$16.7	47% 1691-1909 (3600)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 69.5¢	$13.9	$20	+$6.1	44% 1668-2150 (3818)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 49.1¢	$14.71	$26	+$11.29	47% 1726-1951 (3677)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 59.2¢	$12.9	$15.45	+$2.55	48% 1198-1305 (2503)
SU suntori<$100	Upavg 69¢	$2.8	$4.06	+$1.26	46% 2104-2463 (4567)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	38% 1131-1839 (2970)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR	Downavg 54.2¢	$216.75	—	-$216.75	59% 3299-2310 (5609)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 53.6¢	$62.75	—	-$62.75	50% 1904-1877 (3781)