Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 47%
2 arb excluded
$2.3K
-$295.78
Smart Money Signal
9 of 19 top traders (47%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.5¢ | $741.42 | $752.41 | +$10.99 | 98% 2789-58 (2847) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 63.5¢ | $622.99 | $539.19 | -$78.21 | 50% 2434-2391 (4825) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $511.15 | $494.56 | +$3.83 | 55% 2652-2154 (4806) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Downavg 13.9¢ | $113.71 | — | -$109.51 | 59% 3281-2298 (5579) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Downavg 55.4¢ | $283.6 | $182.24 | -$101.36 | 49% 385-395 (780) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 55.4¢ | $168.01 | — | -$168.01 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 63.4¢ | $115.59 | $182.24 | +$66.65 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 62.4¢ | $145.76 | $106.59 | +$0.23 | 54% 1831-1588 (3419) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 62.4¢ | $66.49 | $106.59 | +$50.08 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 32.9¢ | $39.27 | — | -$49.85 | |
13 13897651 | Upavg 61.7¢ | $107.46 | $99.99 | -$1.27 | 41% 943-1372 (2315) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 79.1¢ | $79.27 | $37.5 | +$0.55 | 51% 1727-1644 (3371) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 54.6¢ | $19.12 | $35 | +$15.88 | 47% 1647-1881 (3528) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 59.6¢ | $28.61 | $33.35 | +$4.74 | 49% 1967-2021 (3988) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $24.55 | — | -$24.55 | 51% 609-588 (1197) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $41.2 | — | -$25.23 | 50% 1861-1835 (3696) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 49% 993-1031 (2024) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 91.6¢ | $10.99 | — | -$10.99 | 39% 1076-1670 (2746) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $12.06 | $10 | +$2.34 | 48% 1655-1778 (3433) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 49% 1074-1128 (2202) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $4.44 | — | -$4.44 | 60% 3027-2022 (5049) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $3.43 | $6.47 | +$3.04 | 72% 1307-501 (1808) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.2¢ | $27.74 | — | -$27.74 | 44% 1633-2119 (3752) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 33.1¢ | $28.46 | — | -$28.46 | 47% 1686-1913 (3599) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 15.2¢ | $31.12 | — | -$6.07 | 47% 1170-1297 (2467) |
Invested
$741.42
Value
$752.41
PnL
+$10.99
Record
98%
2789-58 (2847)
Invested
$622.99
Value
$539.19
PnL
-$78.21
Record
50%
2434-2391 (4825)
Invested
$511.15
Value
$494.56
PnL
+$3.83
Record
55%
2652-2154 (4806)
Invested
$113.71
Value
—
PnL
-$109.51
Record
59%
3281-2298 (5579)
Invested
$283.6
Value
$182.24
PnL
-$101.36
Record
49%
385-395 (780)
Both legs:
Invested
$145.76
Value
$106.59
PnL
+$0.23
Record
54%
1831-1588 (3419)
Both legs:
Invested
$107.46
Value
$99.99
PnL
-$1.27
Record
41%
943-1372 (2315)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$79.27
Value
$37.5
PnL
+$0.55
Record
51%
1727-1644 (3371)
Invested
$19.12
Value
$35
PnL
+$15.88
Record
47%
1647-1881 (3528)
Invested
$28.61
Value
$33.35
PnL
+$4.74
Record
49%
1967-2021 (3988)
Invested
$24.55
Value
—
PnL
-$24.55
Record
51%
609-588 (1197)
Invested
$41.2
Value
—
PnL
-$25.23
Record
50%
1861-1835 (3696)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
49%
993-1031 (2024)
Invested
$10.99
Value
—
PnL
-$10.99
Record
39%
1076-1670 (2746)
ohioism<$100Invested
$12.06
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.34
Record
48%
1655-1778 (3433)
Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
49%
1074-1128 (2202)
Invested
$4.44
Value
—
PnL
-$4.44
Record
60%
3027-2022 (5049)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$3.43
Value
$6.47
PnL
+$3.04
Record
72%
1307-501 (1808)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$27.74
Value
—
PnL
-$27.74
Record
44%
1633-2119 (3752)
Invested
$28.46
Value
—
PnL
-$28.46
Record
47%
1686-1913 (3599)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$31.12
Value
—
PnL
-$6.07
Record
47%
1170-1297 (2467)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $752.41
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $539.19
ByteBadger92
Up — $494.56
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown — $0
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
Up — $99.99
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $37.5
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $35
dvasdkasodk
Up — $33.35