Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
18
Up 33%
$510.77
-$879.08
Smart Money Signal
6 of 18 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 41.3¢ | $63.95 | $108.81 | +$57.91 | 51% 1497-1460 (2957) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 85.1¢ | $77.26 | $82 | +$4.74 | 52% 1478-1365 (2843) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 43.6¢ | $37.83 | $65.73 | +$27.9 | 50% 323-327 (650) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $48.95 | $49.44 | +$0.49 | 98% 2447-49 (2496) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 59.1¢ | $30.04 | $29.58 | -$0.45 | 39% 793-1263 (2056) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 42.6¢ | $16.5 | $35.2 | +$18.7 | 60% 2584-1729 (4313) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $12.9 | $30 | +$17.1 | 44% 1391-1787 (3178) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $11.7 | $30 | +$18.3 | 50% 4140-4074 (8214) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $11.7 | $30 | +$18.3 | 48% 896-962 (1858) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $11.7 | $30 | +$18.3 | 49% 897-952 (1849) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 64.7¢ | $9.7 | $15 | +$5.3 | 47% 995-1129 (2124) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 57.5¢ | $8.18 | — | -$8.18 | 38% 771-1268 (2039) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $9.45 | — | -$9.45 | 48% 1394-1530 (2924) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 47% 1444-1636 (3080) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $4.35 | $5 | +$0.65 | 49% 1644-1742 (3386) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $42.7 | — | -$42.7 | 59% 3030-2107 (5137) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$63.95
Value
$108.81
PnL
+$57.91
Record
51%
1497-1460 (2957)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$77.26
Value
$82
PnL
+$4.74
Record
52%
1478-1365 (2843)
Invested
$37.83
Value
$65.73
PnL
+$27.9
Record
50%
323-327 (650)
Invested
$48.95
Value
$49.44
PnL
+$0.49
Record
98%
2447-49 (2496)
Invested
$30.04
Value
$29.58
PnL
-$0.45
Record
39%
793-1263 (2056)
Invested
$16.5
Value
$35.2
PnL
+$18.7
Record
60%
2584-1729 (4313)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$12.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$17.1
Record
44%
1391-1787 (3178)
Invested
$11.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$18.3
Record
50%
4140-4074 (8214)
Invested
$11.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$18.3
Record
48%
896-962 (1858)
Invested
$11.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$18.3
Record
49%
897-952 (1849)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$9.7
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.3
Record
47%
995-1129 (2124)
Invested
$8.18
Value
—
PnL
-$8.18
Record
38%
771-1268 (2039)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.45
Value
—
PnL
-$9.45
Record
48%
1394-1530 (2924)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
47%
1444-1636 (3080)
Invested
$4.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.65
Record
49%
1644-1742 (3386)
Invested
$42.7
Value
—
PnL
-$42.7
Record
59%
3030-2107 (5137)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $108.81
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $82
aswfadq1555
Down — $65.73
hoodquant
Down — $49.44
13897651
Down — $29.58
aaa221
Down — $35.2
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $30
bosona
Down — $30