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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Down 36%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$-1.0K

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 14 top traders (36%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,550

Combined PnL+$30.17

Up9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,896

Combined PnL$-1.1K

Down — 36%Up — 64%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.7¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$17.38	98% 2427-48 (2475)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2475-1962 (4437)
QU QuantumPebble673CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	—
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Downavg 98¢	$195.55	$164.54	+$2.59	38% 748-1242 (1990)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Downavg 77¢	$42.8	$50	+$7.2	49% 316-327 (643)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 6.6¢	$72.18	—	-$51.94	59% 3015-2097 (5112)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 70¢	$14.9	$21.28	+$6.38	50% 1465-1436 (2901)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 70¢	$21.05	$13.71	-$3.39	39% 787-1252 (2039)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$0.6	—	-$0.6	48% 1377-1513 (2890)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 25¢	$1.35	—	-$1.35	48% 1620-1725 (3345)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 11¢	$0.55	—	-$0.55	47% 986-1111 (2097)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 1.9¢	$7.67	—	-$7.67	44% 1381-1765 (3146)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$4.41	—	-$4.41	47% 1428-1621 (3049)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$0.6	—	-$0.6	46% 1368-1585 (2953)

Invested

$1,282.62

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$17.38

Record

98%

2427-48 (2475)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

QuantumPebble673CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

—

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$195.55

Value

$164.54

PnL

+$2.59

Record

38%

748-1242 (1990)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$42.8

Value

$50

PnL

+$7.2

Record

49%

316-327 (643)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$72.18

Value

—

PnL

-$51.94

Record

59%

3015-2097 (5112)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$14.9

Value

$21.28

PnL

+$6.38

Record

50%

1465-1436 (2901)

Invested

$21.05

Value

$13.71

PnL

-$3.39

Record

39%

787-1252 (2039)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

48%

1377-1513 (2890)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

48%

1620-1725 (3345)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.55

Value

—

PnL

-$0.55

Record

47%

986-1111 (2097)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$7.67

Value

—

PnL

-$7.67

Record

44%

1381-1765 (3146)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$4.41

Value

—

PnL

-$4.41

Record

47%

1428-1621 (3049)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

46%

1368-1585 (2953)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 14 top traders (36%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6b975c69...529368

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794525300

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $1.3K

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

QuantumPebble673

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $164.54

aswfadq1555

Down — $50

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $21.28

13897651

Down — $13.71

ohioism

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

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