Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
20
Down 65%
$915.94
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 20 top traders (65%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 63.5¢ | $575.08 | $569.65 | -$5.43 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 56.6¢ | $215.59 | $184 | +$5.93 | 59% 3010-2084 (5094) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 69.9¢ | $178.75 | — | -$177.4 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Upavg 36.8¢ | $26.17 | $45.27 | +$19.1 | 49% 313-326 (639) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 59.7¢ | $46.54 | $44.99 | -$1.55 | 54% 1677-1430 (3107) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $25.64 | $34.66 | +$9.02 | 60% 2531-1695 (4226) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 61.1¢ | $15.5 | $25.36 | +$9.86 | 46% 1350-1577 (2927) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $18.8 | — | -$18.8 | 52% 1456-1332 (2788) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $12.6 | — | -$12.6 | 50% 4114-4061 (8175) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $13.5 | — | -$13.5 | 47% 1411-1608 (3019) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | $4.74 | $12 | +$7.26 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $9.9 | — | -$9.9 | 44% 1371-1749 (3120) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $7.98 | — | -$7.98 | 48% 1242-1341 (2583) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 48% 1361-1500 (2861) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.3¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 48% 1603-1710 (3313) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $0.96 | — | -$0.96 | 48% 800-859 (1659) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 47% 975-1099 (2074) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.4¢ | $22.13 | — | -$22.13 | 39% 781-1243 (2024) |
Invested
$575.08
Value
$569.65
PnL
-$5.43
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$215.59
Value
$184
PnL
+$5.93
Record
59%
3010-2084 (5094)
Invested
$178.75
Value
—
PnL
-$177.4
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
Invested
$26.17
Value
$45.27
PnL
+$19.1
Record
49%
313-326 (639)
Invested
$46.54
Value
$44.99
PnL
-$1.55
Record
54%
1677-1430 (3107)
Invested
$25.64
Value
$34.66
PnL
+$9.02
Record
60%
2531-1695 (4226)
Invested
$15.5
Value
$25.36
PnL
+$9.86
Record
46%
1350-1577 (2927)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$18.8
Value
—
PnL
-$18.8
Record
52%
1456-1332 (2788)
Invested
$12.6
Value
—
PnL
-$12.6
Record
50%
4114-4061 (8175)
Invested
$13.5
Value
—
PnL
-$13.5
Record
47%
1411-1608 (3019)
Invested
$4.74
Value
$12
PnL
+$7.26
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
—
PnL
-$9.9
Record
44%
1371-1749 (3120)
Invested
$7.98
Value
—
PnL
-$7.98
Record
48%
1242-1341 (2583)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
48%
1361-1500 (2861)
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
48%
1603-1710 (3313)
Invested
$0.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
48%
800-859 (1659)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
47%
975-1099 (2074)
Invested
$22.13
Value
—
PnL
-$22.13
Record
39%
781-1243 (2024)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $569.65
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $184
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
aswfadq1555
Up — $45.27
ply-pm2
Up — $44.99
aaa221
Up — $34.66
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $25.36
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0