Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

22

Up 68%

Total Value

$830.94

Combined PnL

$-1.4K

Smart Money Signal

Up

15 of 22 top traders (68%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$830.94
Total Shares831
Combined PnL-$151.51
Up15 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,729
Combined PnL$-1.3K
Down β€” 32%Up β€” 68%
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down

Invested

$863.51

Value

$668.54

PnL

-$194.97

Record

50%

1977-1974 (3951)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

β€”

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2466-1957 (4423)

QU
QuantumPebble673CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

β€”

PnL

-$500

Record

β€”

0X
0xdc27...afdd9a<$100
Down

Invested

$37.02

Value

$72.05

PnL

+$35.03

Record

23%

77-265 (342)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$25.53

Value

$30.83

PnL

+$12.86

Record

60%

2531-1695 (4226)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$50.39

Value

$16.53

PnL

-$3.85

Record

54%

1677-1430 (3107)

AS
aswfadq1555<$100
Down

Invested

$16

Value

$20

PnL

+$4

Record

49%

313-326 (639)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$67.81

Value

$15

PnL

-$4.66

Record

52%

1456-1332 (2788)

BO
bosonaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$14.1

Value

β€”

PnL

-$14.1

Record

50%

4114-4061 (8175)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$14.95

Value

β€”

PnL

-$14.95

Record

44%

1371-1749 (3120)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.7

Value

β€”

PnL

-$9.7

Record

48%

1361-1500 (2861)

13
13897651CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$27.75

Value

β€”

PnL

-$14.17

Record

39%

781-1243 (2024)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$7.92

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.08

Record

48%

1603-1710 (3313)

AL
almachCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$17.7

Value

β€”

PnL

-$17.7

Record

48%

875-935 (1810)

MO
mo-moneyCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$15.37

Value

β€”

PnL

-$15.37

Record

48%

875-948 (1823)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.75

Value

β€”

PnL

-$3.75

Record

47%

1411-1608 (3019)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.9

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.9

Record

50%

481-481 (962)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.43

Value

β€”

PnL

-$3.43

Record

47%

975-1099 (2074)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.79

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.79

Record

48%

1242-1341 (2583)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$63.31

Value

β€”

PnL

-$63.31

Record

59%

3010-2084 (5094)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR
Up

Invested

$108.39

Value

β€”

PnL

-$108.39

Record

50%

1445-1426 (2871)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.35

Value

β€”

PnL

-$5.35

Record

37%

716-1225 (1941)