Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 72%
2 arb excluded
$2.1K
-$546.78
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $521.58 | $505 | +$0.74 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.7¢ | $255.95 | $505 | +$248.25 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.6¢ | $244.32 | — | -$247.51 | |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 77.6¢ | $351.74 | $453.5 | +$101.76 | 59% 2981-2065 (5046) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 76.7¢ | $481.29 | $402.29 | -$79 | 50% 1923-1911 (3834) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $246.84 | $247.09 | +$0.25 | 49% 927-964 (1891) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Upavg 57.6¢ | $110.46 | $120.23 | +$9.77 | 49% 308-315 (623) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 57.6¢ | $69.27 | $120.23 | +$50.96 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 29¢ | $41.19 | — | -$41.19 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.7¢ | $145.63 | $147.55 | +$1.92 | 98% 2353-45 (2398) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 55.4¢ | $74.94 | $68.31 | +$4.88 | 39% 768-1224 (1992) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 49.1¢ | $30.45 | $62.07 | +$31.62 | 46% 1320-1541 (2861) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $58.8 | — | -$58.8 | 48% 789-838 (1627) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 38.9¢ | $45.28 | — | -$45.28 | 51% 1409-1375 (2784) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 49.1¢ | $12.64 | $17.59 | +$4.95 | 44% 1344-1706 (3050) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 60.5¢ | $51.77 | $16.95 | +$0.02 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 70.1¢ | $59.51 | $15 | +$3.91 | 53% 1432-1294 (2726) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $7.3 | $9.99 | +$2.7 | 47% 1374-1576 (2950) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.62 | $6 | +$4.38 | 37% 679-1149 (1828) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $4.66 | — | -$4.66 | 48% 1221-1313 (2534) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $1.86 | $3.58 | +$1.72 | 47% 1666-1892 (3558) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $0.72 | $1.72 | +$1 | 50% 466-464 (930) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 59.6¢ | $18.15 | — | -$18.15 | 48% 1336-1466 (2802) |
Invested
$521.58
Value
$505
PnL
+$0.74
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$351.74
Value
$453.5
PnL
+$101.76
Record
59%
2981-2065 (5046)
Invested
$481.29
Value
$402.29
PnL
-$79
Record
50%
1923-1911 (3834)
Invested
$246.84
Value
$247.09
PnL
+$0.25
Record
49%
927-964 (1891)
Invested
$110.46
Value
$120.23
PnL
+$9.77
Record
49%
308-315 (623)
Both legs:
Invested
$145.63
Value
$147.55
PnL
+$1.92
Record
98%
2353-45 (2398)
Invested
$74.94
Value
$68.31
PnL
+$4.88
Record
39%
768-1224 (1992)
Invested
$30.45
Value
$62.07
PnL
+$31.62
Record
46%
1320-1541 (2861)
Invested
$58.8
Value
—
PnL
-$58.8
Record
48%
789-838 (1627)
Invested
$45.28
Value
—
PnL
-$45.28
Record
51%
1409-1375 (2784)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$12.64
Value
$17.59
PnL
+$4.95
Record
44%
1344-1706 (3050)
Invested
$51.77
Value
$16.95
PnL
+$0.02
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$59.51
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.91
Record
53%
1432-1294 (2726)
Invested
$7.3
Value
$9.99
PnL
+$2.7
Record
47%
1374-1576 (2950)
Invested
$1.62
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.38
Record
37%
679-1149 (1828)
Invested
$4.66
Value
—
PnL
-$4.66
Record
48%
1221-1313 (2534)
Invested
$1.86
Value
$3.58
PnL
+$1.72
Record
47%
1666-1892 (3558)
Invested
$0.72
Value
$1.72
PnL
+$1
Record
50%
466-464 (930)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$18.15
Value
—
PnL
-$18.15
Record
48%
1336-1466 (2802)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
QuantumPebble673
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $453.5
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $402.29
0x50f7
Up — $247.09
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $147.55
13897651
Up — $68.31
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $62.07
PBot-5
CTRDown — $0