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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Down 71%

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

-$680.19

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders

Total Value$2.1K

Total Shares2,127

Combined PnL+$216.77

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,088

Combined PnL-$896.97

Down — 71%Up — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$996.65	$1.0K	+$10.07	98% 2353-45 (2398)
QU QuantumPebble673CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	—
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.1¢	$505.5	$500	+$8.9	56% 2419-1897 (4316)
DE devonpollCTR	Upavg 50¢	$360	—	-$360	53% 314-280 (594)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 68.2¢	$218.36	$308.23	+$89.86	50% 1923-1911 (3834)
PB PBot-5	Downavg 49¢	$82.3	$167.95	+$85.65	48% 789-838 (1627)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 87.8¢	$39.77	$45.26	+$5.49	53% 1432-1294 (2726)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 80.7¢	$31.47	$39	+$7.53	59% 2981-2065 (5046)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Downavg 75.6¢	$20.52	$22.85	+$2.32	49% 308-315 (623)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 73.8¢	$17.62	$16.06	-$1.56	39% 768-1224 (1992)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 71.5¢	$17.56	$11.06	+$3.5	54% 1637-1402 (3039)
38 38791873984189<$100	Downavg 47¢	$4.43	$9.43	+$5	48% 2255-2437 (4692)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.16	—	-$0.16	37% 901-1503 (2404)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$36.81	—	-$36.81	37% 679-1149 (1828)

Invested

$996.65

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$10.07

Record

98%

2353-45 (2398)

QuantumPebble673CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

—

Invested

$505.5

Value

$500

PnL

+$8.9

Record

56%

2419-1897 (4316)

Invested

$360

Value

—

PnL

-$360

Record

53%

314-280 (594)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$218.36

Value

$308.23

PnL

+$89.86

Record

50%

1923-1911 (3834)

Invested

$82.3

Value

$167.95

PnL

+$85.65

Record

48%

789-838 (1627)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$39.77

Value

$45.26

PnL

+$5.49

Record

53%

1432-1294 (2726)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$31.47

Value

$39

PnL

+$7.53

Record

59%

2981-2065 (5046)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$20.52

Value

$22.85

PnL

+$2.32

Record

49%

308-315 (623)

Invested

$17.62

Value

$16.06

PnL

-$1.56

Record

39%

768-1224 (1992)

Invested

$17.56

Value

$11.06

PnL

+$3.5

Record

54%

1637-1402 (3039)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$4.43

Value

$9.43

PnL

+$5

Record

48%

2255-2437 (4692)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.16

Value

—

PnL

-$0.16

Record

37%

901-1503 (2404)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$36.81

Value

—

PnL

-$36.81

Record

37%

679-1149 (1828)

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8a50f274...e26da0

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794511800

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $1.0K

QuantumPebble673

Up — $0

ByteBadger92

Down — $500

devonpoll

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $308.23

PBot-5

Down — $167.95

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $45.26

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $39

aswfadq1555

Down — $22.85

13897651

Down — $16.06

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