Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 63%
1 arb excluded
$2.7K
$125.24
Smart Money Signal
12 of 19 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 43¢ | $293.77 | $682.57 | +$388.8 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.4¢ | $538.54 | $490 | -$18.33 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.4¢ | $259.69 | — | -$260.64 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.1¢ | $245.68 | $490 | +$242.3 | |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 64.6¢ | $420.89 | $397.19 | +$30.16 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $152.66 | $154.2 | +$1.54 | 98% 2299-45 (2344) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Downavg 49.5¢ | $129.71 | — | -$129.71 | 49% 298-309 (607) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 74% 1071-381 (1452) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $100.42 | $88 | -$0.53 | 54% 1603-1367 (2970) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 47.2¢ | $62.18 | $76.94 | +$20.46 | 38% 746-1216 (1962) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 53.4¢ | $34.4 | $64.44 | +$30.04 | 46% 1298-1506 (2804) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.1¢ | $55.53 | — | -$55.53 | 48% 772-820 (1592) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $36.6 | $57.19 | +$20.59 | 45% 109-133 (242) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $42.1 | $35 | +$3.4 | 53% 1399-1261 (2660) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 69.8¢ | $17.82 | $25 | +$7.18 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 85.2¢ | $14.48 | $17 | +$2.52 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $8.5 | — | -$8.5 | 44% 1316-1666 (2982) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $9.3 | — | -$9.3 | 48% 1314-1432 (2746) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $9.4 | — | -$9.4 | 47% 1347-1530 (2877) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 49% 64-67 (131) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Downavg 53.6¢ | $166.48 | — | -$166.48 | 59% 2959-2052 (5011) |
Invested
$293.77
Value
$682.57
PnL
+$388.8
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
Invested
$538.54
Value
$490
PnL
-$18.33
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$420.89
Value
$397.19
PnL
+$30.16
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$152.66
Value
$154.2
PnL
+$1.54
Record
98%
2299-45 (2344)
Invested
$129.71
Value
—
PnL
-$129.71
Record
49%
298-309 (607)
BoneOhioInvested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
74%
1071-381 (1452)
Invested
$100.42
Value
$88
PnL
-$0.53
Record
54%
1603-1367 (2970)
Invested
$62.18
Value
$76.94
PnL
+$20.46
Record
38%
746-1216 (1962)
Invested
$34.4
Value
$64.44
PnL
+$30.04
Record
46%
1298-1506 (2804)
Invested
$55.53
Value
—
PnL
-$55.53
Record
48%
772-820 (1592)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$36.6
Value
$57.19
PnL
+$20.59
Record
45%
109-133 (242)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$42.1
Value
$35
PnL
+$3.4
Record
53%
1399-1261 (2660)
Invested
$17.82
Value
$25
PnL
+$7.18
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
Invested
$14.48
Value
$17
PnL
+$2.52
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$8.5
Value
—
PnL
-$8.5
Record
44%
1316-1666 (2982)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.3
Value
—
PnL
-$9.3
Record
48%
1314-1432 (2746)
Invested
$9.4
Value
—
PnL
-$9.4
Record
47%
1347-1530 (2877)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
49%
64-67 (131)
Invested
$166.48
Value
—
PnL
-$166.48
Record
59%
2959-2052 (5011)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Up — $682.57
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $397.19
hoodquant
Up — $154.2
aswfadq1555
CTRDown — $0
BoneOhio
Up — $100
ply-pm2
Up — $88
13897651
Up — $76.94
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $64.44