Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 50%
$3.8K
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $2.1K | $2.1K | +$2.11 | 49% 883-924 (1807) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.44 | 98% 2252-45 (2297) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
DE devonpollCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $360 | — | -$360 | 53% 312-279 (591) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 79.4¢ | $245.48 | $298.52 | +$53.04 | 51% 1806-1756 (3562) |
PB PBot-5 | Downavg 50¢ | $60 | $120 | +$60 | 48% 748-800 (1548) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $100.13 | $113.24 | +$13.12 | 49% 293-300 (593) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 90.8¢ | $60.22 | $55.5 | +$0.78 | 53% 1367-1231 (2598) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 93.2¢ | $27.03 | $29 | +$1.97 | 59% 2945-2044 (4989) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 71.6¢ | $5.17 | $7.22 | +$2.05 | 54% 1563-1340 (2903) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 38% 650-1081 (1731) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 11.6¢ | $4.19 | — | -$4.19 | 47% 912-1024 (1936) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $10.71 | — | -$10.71 | 47% 1321-1484 (2805) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 38% 732-1200 (1932) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 38% 866-1417 (2283) |
Invested
$2,111.48
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$2.11
Record
49%
883-924 (1807)
Invested
$1,085.61
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.44
Record
98%
2252-45 (2297)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$360
Value
—
PnL
-$360
Record
53%
312-279 (591)
Invested
$245.48
Value
$298.52
PnL
+$53.04
Record
51%
1806-1756 (3562)
Invested
$60
Value
$120
PnL
+$60
Record
48%
748-800 (1548)
Invested
$100.13
Value
$113.24
PnL
+$13.12
Record
49%
293-300 (593)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$60.22
Value
$55.5
PnL
+$0.78
Record
53%
1367-1231 (2598)
Invested
$27.03
Value
$29
PnL
+$1.97
Record
59%
2945-2044 (4989)
Invested
$5.17
Value
$7.22
PnL
+$2.05
Record
54%
1563-1340 (2903)
Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
38%
650-1081 (1731)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$4.19
Value
—
PnL
-$4.19
Record
47%
912-1024 (1936)
Invested
$10.71
Value
—
PnL
-$10.71
Record
47%
1321-1484 (2805)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
38%
732-1200 (1932)
Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
38%
866-1417 (2283)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $2.1K
hoodquant
Down — $1.1K
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $298.52
PBot-5
Down — $120
aswfadq1555
Down — $113.24
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $55.5
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $29