Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Up 80%
$3.0K
$5.56
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 86.4Β’ | $723.5 | $639.65 | -$81.96 | 51% 1741-1694 (3435) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | β |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 73.4Β’ | $475.39 | $470 | +$68.99 | 52% 1296-1214 (2510) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 77.6Β’ | $370.15 | $395.5 | +$28.05 | 49% 284-291 (575) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 84.1Β’ | $224.23 | $266.58 | +$42.35 | 59% 2924-2024 (4948) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.6Β’ | $70.72 | β | -$70.72 | 48% 2153-2339 (4492) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 88.1Β’ | $55.37 | $60 | +$4.63 | 53% 1336-1195 (2531) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 73.8Β’ | $27.94 | $37.87 | +$9.93 | 60% 2327-1560 (3887) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 69.7Β’ | $26.78 | $30 | +$3.22 | 54% 1521-1314 (2835) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $24.9 | $30 | +$5.1 | 47% 787-874 (1661) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $24.9 | $30 | +$5.1 | 50% 4018-3992 (8010) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $24.9 | $30 | +$5.1 | 48% 784-859 (1643) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $11.25 | β | -$11.25 | 49% 727-769 (1496) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 25.5Β’ | $2.59 | β | -$2.59 | 38% 714-1185 (1899) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $0.39 | β | -$0.39 | 51% 422-410 (832) |
Invested
$723.5
Value
$639.65
PnL
-$81.96
Record
51%
1741-1694 (3435)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
β
Invested
$475.39
Value
$470
PnL
+$68.99
Record
52%
1296-1214 (2510)
Invested
$370.15
Value
$395.5
PnL
+$28.05
Record
49%
284-291 (575)
Invested
$224.23
Value
$266.58
PnL
+$42.35
Record
59%
2924-2024 (4948)
Invested
$70.72
Value
β
PnL
-$70.72
Record
48%
2153-2339 (4492)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$55.37
Value
$60
PnL
+$4.63
Record
53%
1336-1195 (2531)
Invested
$27.94
Value
$37.87
PnL
+$9.93
Record
60%
2327-1560 (3887)
Invested
$26.78
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.22
Record
54%
1521-1314 (2835)
Invested
$24.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.1
Record
47%
787-874 (1661)
Invested
$24.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.1
Record
50%
4018-3992 (8010)
Invested
$24.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.1
Record
48%
784-859 (1643)
Invested
$11.25
Value
β
PnL
-$11.25
Record
49%
727-769 (1496)
Invested
$2.59
Value
β
PnL
-$2.59
Record
38%
714-1185 (1899)
Invested
$0.39
Value
β
PnL
-$0.39
Record
51%
422-410 (832)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $639.65
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
QuantumPebble673
Up β $500
uninformedfloww
Up β $470
aswfadq1555
Up β $395.5
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up β $266.58
38791873984189
CTRDown β $0

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $60
aaa221
Up β $37.87
ply-pm2
Up β $30