Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 43%
1 arb excluded
$3.0K
-$893.5
Smart Money Signal
11 of 25 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 73.8¢ | $1.4K | $1.3K | -$144.81 | 50% 1695-1670 (3365) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 68¢ | $271.66 | $399.5 | +$127.84 | 59% 2916-2014 (4930) |
DE devonpollCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $360 | — | -$356.35 | 52% 287-262 (549) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Downavg 25.8¢ | $223.44 | $108 | -$115.44 | 50% 281-286 (567) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 54.2¢ | $58.5 | $108 | +$49.5 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 25.8¢ | $164.94 | — | -$164.94 | |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 76.9¢ | $51.55 | $40 | -$11.55 | 44% 1224-1549 (2773) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 69.3¢ | $32.8 | $33.85 | +$1.05 | 53% 1315-1180 (2495) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $21 | $30 | +$9 | 74% 1014-350 (1364) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $21.6 | $30 | +$8.4 | 48% 1237-1320 (2557) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 98% 2190-44 (2234) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.9¢ | $95.21 | — | -$95.21 | 48% 2125-2324 (4449) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 33.3¢ | $23.3 | — | -$23.3 | 47% 1260-1417 (2677) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.1¢ | $17.35 | — | -$17.35 | 46% 853-986 (1839) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $3.09 | $6.18 | +$3.09 | 48% 1121-1213 (2334) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $15.6 | — | -$15.6 | 47% 765-855 (1620) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.1¢ | $9.5 | — | -$9.5 | 47% 771-869 (1640) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 31.7¢ | $11.26 | — | -$11.26 | 50% 4000-3988 (7988) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $9.3 | — | -$9.3 | 46% 1207-1409 (2616) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.86 | — | -$4.86 | 48% 709-756 (1465) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 32.1¢ | $337.23 | — | -$337.23 | 52% 1265-1189 (2454) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 48% 1421-1548 (2969) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.1¢ | $90.66 | — | -$6.78 | 53% 1497-1303 (2800) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.5¢ | $11.84 | — | -$11.84 | 37% 706-1177 (1883) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $14.01 | $0 | +$11.42 | 47% 1541-1714 (3255) |
Invested
$1,422.45
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$144.81
Record
50%
1695-1670 (3365)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$271.66
Value
$399.5
PnL
+$127.84
Record
59%
2916-2014 (4930)
Invested
$360
Value
—
PnL
-$356.35
Record
52%
287-262 (549)
Invested
$223.44
Value
$108
PnL
-$115.44
Record
50%
281-286 (567)
Both legs:
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$51.55
Value
$40
PnL
-$11.55
Record
44%
1224-1549 (2773)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$32.8
Value
$33.85
PnL
+$1.05
Record
53%
1315-1180 (2495)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$21
Value
$30
PnL
+$9
Record
74%
1014-350 (1364)
ohioism<$100Invested
$21.6
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.4
Record
48%
1237-1320 (2557)
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
98%
2190-44 (2234)
Invested
$95.21
Value
—
PnL
-$95.21
Record
48%
2125-2324 (4449)
Invested
$23.3
Value
—
PnL
-$23.3
Record
47%
1260-1417 (2677)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$17.35
Value
—
PnL
-$17.35
Record
46%
853-986 (1839)
Invested
$3.09
Value
$6.18
PnL
+$3.09
Record
48%
1121-1213 (2334)
Invested
$15.6
Value
—
PnL
-$15.6
Record
47%
765-855 (1620)
Invested
$9.5
Value
—
PnL
-$9.5
Record
47%
771-869 (1640)
Invested
$11.26
Value
—
PnL
-$11.26
Record
50%
4000-3988 (7988)
Invested
$9.3
Value
—
PnL
-$9.3
Record
46%
1207-1409 (2616)
Invested
$4.86
Value
—
PnL
-$4.86
Record
48%
709-756 (1465)
Invested
$337.23
Value
—
PnL
-$337.23
Record
52%
1265-1189 (2454)
Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
48%
1421-1548 (2969)
Invested
$90.66
Value
—
PnL
-$6.78
Record
53%
1497-1303 (2800)
Invested
$11.84
Value
—
PnL
-$11.84
Record
37%
706-1177 (1883)
Invested
$14.01
Value
$0
PnL
+$11.42
Record
47%
1541-1714 (3255)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.3K
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $399.5
devonpoll
CTRDown — $0
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $40
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $33.85
BoneOhio
Up — $30
ohioism
Up — $30