Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 26% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Up 28%
$1.5K
-$873.07
Smart Money Signal
5 of 19 top traders (26%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | β |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 39Β’ | $497.07 | β | -$475.74 | 51% 1663-1626 (3289) |
DE devonpoll | Upavg 51.2Β’ | $369.26 | $365 | -$2.1 | 52% 274-257 (531) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Downavg 45Β’ | $102.71 | β | -$102.71 | 48% 2099-2308 (4407) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 87Β’ | $125.05 | $112.47 | -$12.58 | 59% 2910-2008 (4918) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.1Β’ | $48.75 | β | -$46.68 | 49% 275-284 (559) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.8Β’ | $36.89 | β | -$36.89 | 48% 1106-1197 (2303) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.8Β’ | $23.59 | β | -$23.59 | 50% 3983-3986 (7969) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 53Β’ | $19.57 | β | -$19.57 | 47% 750-851 (1601) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $19.6 | $20 | +$0.4 | 37% 598-1014 (1612) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 63.3Β’ | $40.95 | β | -$20.95 | 53% 1297-1168 (2465) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 81Β’ | $12.56 | β | -$12.56 | 60% 2276-1514 (3790) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 59.5Β’ | $16.46 | β | -$16.46 | 53% 1476-1292 (2768) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 62Β’ | $7.2 | β | -$7.2 | 46% 754-869 (1623) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 82Β’ | $7.16 | β | -$7.16 | 37% 700-1167 (1867) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 24Β’ | $1.2 | β | -$1.2 | 47% 809-896 (1705) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 39.7Β’ | $108.68 | β | -$108.68 | 51% 1179-1131 (2310) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 66.4Β’ | $93.45 | β | +$20.61 | 47% 1521-1691 (3212) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
β
Invested
$497.07
Value
β
PnL
-$475.74
Record
51%
1663-1626 (3289)
Invested
$369.26
Value
$365
PnL
-$2.1
Record
52%
274-257 (531)
Invested
$102.71
Value
β
PnL
-$102.71
Record
48%
2099-2308 (4407)
Invested
$125.05
Value
$112.47
PnL
-$12.58
Record
59%
2910-2008 (4918)
Invested
$48.75
Value
β
PnL
-$46.68
Record
49%
275-284 (559)
Invested
$36.89
Value
β
PnL
-$36.89
Record
48%
1106-1197 (2303)
Invested
$23.59
Value
β
PnL
-$23.59
Record
50%
3983-3986 (7969)
Invested
$19.57
Value
β
PnL
-$19.57
Record
47%
750-851 (1601)
Invested
$19.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.4
Record
37%
598-1014 (1612)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$40.95
Value
β
PnL
-$20.95
Record
53%
1297-1168 (2465)
Invested
$12.56
Value
β
PnL
-$12.56
Record
60%
2276-1514 (3790)
Invested
$16.46
Value
β
PnL
-$16.46
Record
53%
1476-1292 (2768)
Invested
$7.2
Value
β
PnL
-$7.2
Record
46%
754-869 (1623)
Invested
$7.16
Value
β
PnL
-$7.16
Record
37%
700-1167 (1867)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
β
PnL
-$1.2
Record
47%
809-896 (1705)
Invested
$108.68
Value
β
PnL
-$108.68
Record
51%
1179-1131 (2310)
Invested
$93.45
Value
β
PnL
+$20.61
Record
47%
1521-1691 (3212)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
QuantumPebble673
Up β $500
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0
devonpoll
Up β $365
38791873984189
CTRDown β $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up β $112.47
aswfadq1555
CTRDown β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0
bosona
CTRDown β $0
almach
CTRDown β $0