Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 63%
2 arb excluded
$2.1K
-$139.55
Smart Money Signal
13 of 20 top traders (65%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $506.6 | $500 | +$0.7 | 57% 2260-1719 (3979) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.3¢ | $251.57 | $500 | +$250.7 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 82.7¢ | $472.78 | $369.83 | -$102.95 | 51% 1604-1553 (3157) |
DE devonpollARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $360 | $350 | -$3 | 50% 224-222 (446) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $175 | $350 | +$177 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $180 | — | -$180 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 51.8¢ | $98 | $189.06 | +$91.06 | 59% 2873-1960 (4833) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $70.77 | — | -$70.77 | 48% 1986-2186 (4172) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $30.4 | $40 | +$9.6 | 60% 2128-1425 (3553) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 67.2¢ | $18.49 | $16.58 | -$1.91 | 37% 662-1125 (1787) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 48.6¢ | $12.15 | $25 | +$12.85 | 47% 1150-1313 (2463) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 57.2¢ | $36.78 | $12.13 | +$0.92 | 53% 1383-1227 (2610) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $11 | $20 | +$9 | 48% 650-716 (1366) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 98% 2090-43 (2133) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $9 | $20 | +$11 | 44% 1127-1429 (2556) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $6.4 | — | -$6.4 | 48% 1128-1223 (2351) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 19.9¢ | $5.46 | — | -$5.46 | 49% 259-270 (529) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 50% 381-386 (767) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 50% 3933-3941 (7874) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 46% 708-821 (1529) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $1.13 | $2.13 | +$1 | 48% 1035-1129 (2164) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 47% 761-858 (1619) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.4¢ | $85.7 | — | -$85.7 | 50% 1033-1042 (2075) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $9.5 | — | +$0.4 | 53% 1222-1079 (2301) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$506.6
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.7
Record
57%
2260-1719 (3979)
Both legs:
Invested
$472.78
Value
$369.83
PnL
-$102.95
Record
51%
1604-1553 (3157)
Invested
$360
Value
$350
PnL
-$3
Record
50%
224-222 (446)
Both legs:
Invested
$98
Value
$189.06
PnL
+$91.06
Record
59%
2873-1960 (4833)
Invested
$70.77
Value
—
PnL
-$70.77
Record
48%
1986-2186 (4172)
Invested
$30.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$9.6
Record
60%
2128-1425 (3553)
Invested
$18.49
Value
$16.58
PnL
-$1.91
Record
37%
662-1125 (1787)
Invested
$12.15
Value
$25
PnL
+$12.85
Record
47%
1150-1313 (2463)
Invested
$36.78
Value
$12.13
PnL
+$0.92
Record
53%
1383-1227 (2610)
Invested
$11
Value
$20
PnL
+$9
Record
48%
650-716 (1366)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
98%
2090-43 (2133)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$9
Value
$20
PnL
+$11
Record
44%
1127-1429 (2556)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$6.4
Record
48%
1128-1223 (2351)
Invested
$5.46
Value
—
PnL
-$5.46
Record
49%
259-270 (529)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
50%
381-386 (767)
Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
50%
3933-3941 (7874)
Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
46%
708-821 (1529)
Invested
$1.13
Value
$2.13
PnL
+$1
Record
48%
1035-1129 (2164)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
47%
761-858 (1619)
Invested
$85.7
Value
—
PnL
-$85.7
Record
50%
1033-1042 (2075)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$9.5
Value
—
PnL
+$0.4
Record
53%
1222-1079 (2301)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $369.83
devonpoll
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $189.06
38791873984189
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $40
13897651
Up — $16.58
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $25
ply-pm2
Up — $12.13