Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 77%
$1.3K
-$458.19
Smart Money Signal
10 of 13 top traders (77%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | β | -$500 | β |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 51.3Β’ | $518 | $499.71 | +$5.1 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
DE devonpoll | Downavg 50Β’ | $360 | $360 | +$0.65 | 49% 201-206 (407) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 87.7Β’ | $240.28 | $273.89 | +$33.61 | 50% 977-986 (1963) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 84.3Β’ | $69.76 | $73.86 | +$4.1 | 53% 1174-1043 (2217) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $66.91 | $67.59 | +$0.68 | 98% 2057-41 (2098) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $20 | $25 | +$5 | 49% 247-260 (507) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82Β’ | $20.34 | $24.81 | +$4.47 | 60% 2054-1370 (3424) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 17Β’ | $8.5 | β | -$8.5 | 38% 560-911 (1471) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 94.6Β’ | $35.48 | $5 | -$6.86 | 60% 2757-1855 (4612) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $6.03 | $8.61 | +$2.58 | 53% 1336-1174 (2510) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 48Β’ | $0.96 | $2 | +$1.04 | 47% 1681-1866 (3547) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 37% 737-1242 (1979) |
Invested
$500
Value
β
PnL
-$500
Record
β
Invested
$518
Value
$499.71
PnL
+$5.1
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
Invested
$360
Value
$360
PnL
+$0.65
Record
49%
201-206 (407)
Invested
$240.28
Value
$273.89
PnL
+$33.61
Record
50%
977-986 (1963)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$69.76
Value
$73.86
PnL
+$4.1
Record
53%
1174-1043 (2217)
Invested
$66.91
Value
$67.59
PnL
+$0.68
Record
98%
2057-41 (2098)
Invested
$20
Value
$25
PnL
+$5
Record
49%
247-260 (507)
Invested
$20.34
Value
$24.81
PnL
+$4.47
Record
60%
2054-1370 (3424)
Invested
$8.5
Value
β
PnL
-$8.5
Record
38%
560-911 (1471)
Invested
$35.48
Value
$5
PnL
-$6.86
Record
60%
2757-1855 (4612)
Invested
$6.03
Value
$8.61
PnL
+$2.58
Record
53%
1336-1174 (2510)
Invested
$0.96
Value
$2
PnL
+$1.04
Record
47%
1681-1866 (3547)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
737-1242 (1979)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp β $0
ByteBadger92
Down β $499.71
devonpoll
Down β $360
uninformedfloww
Down β $273.89

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $73.86
hoodquant
Down β $67.59
aswfadq1555
Down β $25
aaa221
Down β $24.81
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $5