Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 59%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

-$418.2

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 17 top traders (59%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares646

Combined PnL-$565.41

Down10 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,042

Combined PnL+$147.21

Up — 41%Down — 59%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
QU QuantumPebble673CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	—
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.3¢	$515.98	$488.98	-$12.24	57% 2190-1623 (3813)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.3¢	$245.73	$488.98	+$244.42
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.3¢	$251.79	—	-$256.65
DE devonpoll	Downavg 50.1¢	$361.39	$357.72	+$0.26	49% 201-206 (407)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 47¢	$157.13	$334	+$176.87	60% 2757-1855 (4612)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$127.71	$129	+$1.29	98% 2057-41 (2098)
13 13897651ARB<$100	Downavg 62.9¢	$95.44	$93.69	-$1.75	37% 637-1105 (1742)
└ Down leg	Downavg 62.9¢	$58.95	$93.69	+$34.74
└ Up leg	Upavg 32.1¢	$36.49	—	-$36.49
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 84.3¢	$157.29	$95.49	-$58.68	50% 977-986 (1963)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 68.1¢	$63.21	$56.09	+$2.88	53% 1336-1174 (2510)
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Upavg 51.3¢	$26.45	—	-$26.45	49% 247-260 (507)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 47.7¢	$6.68	$14	+$7.32	47% 1112-1258 (2370)
38 38791873984189<$100	Downavg 47.2¢	$11.23	$23.77	+$12.54	47% 1681-1866 (3547)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 72¢	$12.9	$10	-$2.9	48% 1088-1178 (2266)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 25¢	$20.8	—	-$20.8	46% 1064-1272 (2336)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 44¢	$6.16	—	-$6.16	48% 1010-1104 (2114)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 17.4¢	$4.45	—	-$4.45	47% 738-817 (1555)
E9 0xe907...cff6CTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$5.6	—	-$5.6	47% 1320-1474 (2794)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 68.8¢	$18.04	$11.51	+$2.64	60% 2054-1370 (3424)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 50¢	$5	$10	+$5	47% 623-690 (1313)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 35¢	$1.95	—	-$1.95	46% 1225-1418 (2643)