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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Up 57%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.8K

Combined PnL

$11.94

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares1,272

Combined PnL+$60.92

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares150

Combined PnL-$48.99

Up — 57%Down — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.1¢	$513.6	$500.32	+$1.85	57% 2190-1623 (3813)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$250.6	$500.32	+$251.51
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.6¢	$249.43	—	-$249.66
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
DE devonpoll	Upavg 50.3¢	$363.8	$355	+$0.41	49% 201-206 (407)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 72.7¢	$234.86	$277.77	+$42.91	51% 1582-1533 (3115)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 70¢	$49	$70	+$21	46% 1064-1272 (2336)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Upavg 67.1¢	$22.85	$30.08	+$7.24	49% 247-260 (507)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 72.1¢	$31.18	$21.58	+$0.4	53% 1336-1174 (2510)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 35.3¢	$24.13	—	-$18.56	37% 637-1105 (1742)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 22¢	$6.6	—	-$6.6	50% 977-986 (1963)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 34¢	$10.71	—	-$10.71	60% 2054-1370 (3424)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 88.6¢	$101.25	$7.48	-$14.23	60% 2757-1855 (4612)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 68¢	$6.8	$10	+$3.2	44% 1079-1378 (2457)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 20.1¢	$9.5	—	-$9.5	47% 738-817 (1555)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$2.77	—	-$2.77	47% 1681-1866 (3547)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 46¢	$0.85	—	-$0.85	48% 1010-1104 (2114)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$513.6

Value

$500.32

PnL

+$1.85

Record

57%

2190-1623 (3813)

Both legs:

Up$250.650.1¢+$251.51

Down$249.4349.6¢-$249.66

QuantumPebble673

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

Invested

$363.8

Value

$355

PnL

+$0.41

Record

49%

201-206 (407)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$234.86

Value

$277.77

PnL

+$42.91

Record

51%

1582-1533 (3115)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$49

Value

$70

PnL

+$21

Record

46%

1064-1272 (2336)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$22.85

Value

$30.08

PnL

+$7.24

Record

49%

247-260 (507)

Invested

$31.18

Value

$21.58

PnL

+$0.4

Record

53%

1336-1174 (2510)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$24.13

Value

—

PnL

-$18.56

Record

37%

637-1105 (1742)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$6.6

Value

—

PnL

-$6.6

Record

50%

977-986 (1963)

Invested

$10.71

Value

—

PnL

-$10.71

Record

60%

2054-1370 (3424)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$101.25

Value

$7.48

PnL

-$14.23

Record

60%

2757-1855 (4612)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$6.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$3.2

Record

44%

1079-1378 (2457)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$9.5

Value

—

PnL

-$9.5

Record

47%

738-817 (1555)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

$2.77

Value

—

PnL

-$2.77

Record

47%

1681-1866 (3547)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$0.85

Value

—

PnL

-$0.85

Record

48%

1010-1104 (2114)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa529b61e...4f5b62

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794455100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

devonpoll

Up — $355

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $277.77

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $70

aswfadq1555

Up — $30.08

ply-pm2

Up — $21.58

13897651

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

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