Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 65%
2 arb excluded
$1.6K
-$259.59
Smart Money Signal
13 of 20 top traders (65%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $542.62 | $496.5 | -$11.3 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.7¢ | $251.93 | $496.5 | +$243.92 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $249.79 | — | -$255.22 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $452.15 | $456.72 | +$4.57 | 98% 1917-39 (1956) |
DE devonpollCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $362.6 | — | -$359.2 | — |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eARB<$100 | Downavg 29.6¢ | $191.99 | $100 | -$91.99 | 60% 2627-1728 (4355) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 29.6¢ | $147.9 | — | -$147.9 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 44.1¢ | $44.08 | $100 | +$55.92 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 53.4¢ | $66.3 | $78.15 | +$11.85 | 37% 628-1091 (1719) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 53.8¢ | $98.78 | $47.4 | -$4.55 | 53% 1273-1127 (2400) |
 ohioism | Upavg 51.1¢ | $65.36 | $115.75 | +$50.39 | 49% 1034-1095 (2129) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 54.4¢ | $46.25 | $85 | +$38.75 | 46% 569-681 (1250) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 60¢ | $60 | $100 | +$40 | 74% 773-277 (1050) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Upavg 45.2¢ | $23.07 | $38.37 | +$15.3 | — |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $12.14 | $21.68 | +$9.54 | — |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 51.3¢ | $24.1 | $30 | +$5.9 | 44% 1012-1265 (2277) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $19.98 | $20 | +$0.02 | 47% 629-703 (1332) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 43.5¢ | $8.7 | $20 | +$11.3 | 43% 227-296 (523) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $48.75 | — | -$34.71 | — |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $10.1 | — | -$10.1 | 53% 1148-1015 (2163) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 18.4¢ | $9.98 | — | -$9.98 | 50% 149-151 (300) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | — |
21 0x21d0...e8d7<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $2.94 | $6 | +$3.06 | — |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 48% 1454-1600 (3054) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 38.6¢ | $31.26 | — | -$31.26 | 49% 786-802 (1588) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 718-1188 (1906) |
Invested
$542.62
Value
$496.5
PnL
-$11.3
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
Both legs:
Invested
$452.15
Value
$456.72
PnL
+$4.57
Record
98%
1917-39 (1956)
Invested
$362.6
Value
—
PnL
-$359.2
Record
—
Invested
$191.99
Value
$100
PnL
-$91.99
Record
60%
2627-1728 (4355)
Both legs:
Invested
$66.3
Value
$78.15
PnL
+$11.85
Record
37%
628-1091 (1719)
Invested
$98.78
Value
$47.4
PnL
-$4.55
Record
53%
1273-1127 (2400)
ohioismInvested
$65.36
Value
$115.75
PnL
+$50.39
Record
49%
1034-1095 (2129)
Invested
$46.25
Value
$85
PnL
+$38.75
Record
46%
569-681 (1250)
BoneOhioInvested
$60
Value
$100
PnL
+$40
Record
74%
773-277 (1050)
Invested
$23.07
Value
$38.37
PnL
+$15.3
Record
—
Invested
$12.14
Value
$21.68
PnL
+$9.54
Record
—
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$24.1
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.9
Record
44%
1012-1265 (2277)
Invested
$19.98
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.02
Record
47%
629-703 (1332)
Invested
$8.7
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.3
Record
43%
227-296 (523)
Invested
$48.75
Value
—
PnL
-$34.71
Record
—
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$10.1
Value
—
PnL
-$10.1
Record
53%
1148-1015 (2163)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$9.98
Value
—
PnL
-$9.98
Record
50%
149-151 (300)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
—
Invested
$2.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.06
Record
—
Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
48%
1454-1600 (3054)
Invested
$31.26
Value
—
PnL
-$31.26
Record
49%
786-802 (1588)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
718-1188 (1906)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $456.72
devonpoll
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
Up — $78.15
ply-pm2
Up — $47.4
ohioism
Up — $115.75
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $85
BoneOhio
Up — $100
aswfadq1555
Up — $38.37