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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Down 60%

Total Value

$604.53

Combined PnL

-$11.53

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 16 top traders (56%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$604.53

Total Shares605

Combined PnL+$83.27

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares207

Combined PnL-$94.8

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 77.7¢	$333.67	$429.42	+$95.75	60% 2627-1728 (4355)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Downavg 77¢	$68.45	$54.45	-$14	—
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 75.7¢	$53.32	$48.27	-$5.06	53% 1273-1127 (2400)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 49.3¢	$33.74	—	-$33.74	53% 1148-1015 (2163)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 64.6¢	$30.59	$21.63	-$4.18	37% 628-1091 (1719)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$20.5	—	-$20.5	46% 569-681 (1250)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 82¢	$25.4	$20	-$5.4	49% 1034-1095 (2129)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 44.5¢	$18.99	—	-$18.99	44% 1012-1265 (2277)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 51.6¢	$21.78	$17.81	+$15.04	—
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$7.8	—	-$7.8	43% 227-296 (523)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$9.9	$10	+$0.1	98% 1917-39 (1956)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 25.3¢	$15.15	—	-$15.15	50% 149-151 (300)
38 38791873984189<$100	Downavg 49¢	$1.44	$1.96	+$0.52	48% 1454-1600 (3054)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 50¢	$0.5	$1	+$0.5	—
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Upavg 17¢	$0.17	—	-$0.17	58% 2058-1520 (3578)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 42¢	$2.1	—	+$1.55	—

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$333.67

Value

$429.42

PnL

+$95.75

Record

60%

2627-1728 (4355)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$68.45

Value

$54.45

PnL

-$14

Record

—

Invested

$53.32

Value

$48.27

PnL

-$5.06

Record

53%

1273-1127 (2400)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$33.74

Value

—

PnL

-$33.74

Record

53%

1148-1015 (2163)

Invested

$30.59

Value

$21.63

PnL

-$4.18

Record

37%

628-1091 (1719)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$20.5

Value

—

PnL

-$20.5

Record

46%

569-681 (1250)

Invested

$25.4

Value

$20

PnL

-$5.4

Record

49%

1034-1095 (2129)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$18.99

Value

—

PnL

-$18.99

Record

44%

1012-1265 (2277)

Invested

$21.78

Value

$17.81

PnL

+$15.04

Record

—

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$7.8

Value

—

PnL

-$7.8

Record

43%

227-296 (523)

Invested

$9.9

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.1

Record

98%

1917-39 (1956)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$15.15

Value

—

PnL

-$15.15

Record

50%

149-151 (300)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$1.44

Value

$1.96

PnL

+$0.52

Record

48%

1454-1600 (3054)

Invested

$0.5

Value

$1

PnL

+$0.5

Record

—

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$0.17

Value

—

PnL

-$0.17

Record

58%

2058-1520 (3578)

devonpollCTR<$100

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

+$1.55

Record

—

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 16 top traders (56%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6598ca77...b6f97e

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794451500

Traders in this Market

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $429.42

aswfadq1555

Down — $54.45

ply-pm2

Down — $48.27

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $21.63

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

ohioism

Down — $20

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

aaa221

Down — $17.81

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

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