Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 53%
1 arb excluded
$1.3K
-$134.78
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 56.9¢ | $468.63 | $613 | +$185.47 | 60% 2617-1724 (4341) |
7E 0x7e5d...c4c3 | Upavg 55.2¢ | $267.85 | $247.27 | -$19.11 | — |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 73.4¢ | $146 | $134.1 | -$11.9 | 53% 1258-1114 (2372) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 53.2¢ | $99.95 | $112.51 | +$13.11 | 36% 617-1088 (1705) |
42 0x424e...263bARB<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $72.7 | $100 | +$27.3 | — |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41¢ | $41 | $100 | +$59 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 35.2¢ | $31.7 | — | -$31.7 | |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 64.4¢ | $25.61 | $39.75 | +$14.15 | 73% 753-272 (1025) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $11.31 | $20 | +$8.69 | 44% 990-1249 (2239) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 64.9¢ | $24.35 | $19 | -$1.39 | 53% 1134-1003 (2137) |
5D 0x5d4a...55d3CTR<$100 | Downavg 37.1¢ | $10.32 | — | -$10.32 | — |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $10 | — | -$10 | 50% 3878-3890 (7768) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 31.3¢ | $22.52 | — | -$22.52 | 48% 1014-1081 (2095) |
5E 0x5e8e...8212CTR<$100 | Downavg 43.7¢ | $30.07 | — | -$30.07 | — |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $6.41 | — | -$6.41 | 48% 1430-1573 (3003) |
82 0x828b...a12b<$100 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $14.79 | $4.99 | +$0.54 | — |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 38¢ | $221.49 | — | -$221.49 | 49% 767-785 (1552) |
BA 0xba67...4727CTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $24 | — | -$24 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $4.4 | — | -$0.9 | 58% 2028-1497 (3525) |
E9 0xe907...cff6<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $1.86 | — | +$1.35 | — |
Invested
$468.63
Value
$613
PnL
+$185.47
Record
60%
2617-1724 (4341)
Invested
$267.85
Value
$247.27
PnL
-$19.11
Record
—
Invested
$146
Value
$134.1
PnL
-$11.9
Record
53%
1258-1114 (2372)
Invested
$99.95
Value
$112.51
PnL
+$13.11
Record
36%
617-1088 (1705)
Invested
$72.7
Value
$100
PnL
+$27.3
Record
—
Both legs:
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$25.61
Value
$39.75
PnL
+$14.15
Record
73%
753-272 (1025)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$11.31
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.69
Record
44%
990-1249 (2239)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$24.35
Value
$19
PnL
-$1.39
Record
53%
1134-1003 (2137)
Invested
$10.32
Value
—
PnL
-$10.32
Record
—
Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
50%
3878-3890 (7768)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$22.52
Value
—
PnL
-$22.52
Record
48%
1014-1081 (2095)
Invested
$30.07
Value
—
PnL
-$30.07
Record
—
Invested
$6.41
Value
—
PnL
-$6.41
Record
48%
1430-1573 (3003)
Invested
$14.79
Value
$4.99
PnL
+$0.54
Record
—
Invested
$221.49
Value
—
PnL
-$221.49
Record
49%
767-785 (1552)
Invested
$24
Value
—
PnL
-$24
Record
—
Invested
$4.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
58%
2028-1497 (3525)
Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
+$1.35
Record
—
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $613
0x7e5d...c4c3
Up — $247.27
ply-pm2
Up — $134.1
13897651
Up — $112.51
0x424e...263b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BoneOhio
Up — $39.75
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $20
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $19
0x5d4a...55d3
CTRDown — $0
bosona
CTRDown — $0