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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Down 82%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.5K

Combined PnL

$77.39

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 12 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders

Total Value$3.4K

Total Shares3,406

Combined PnL+$93.41

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares51

Combined PnL-$16.02

Down — 83%Up — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 72.8¢	$2.6K	$2.3K	-$245.7	51% 1054-1033 (2087)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 50.1¢	$225.55	$450	+$224.46	61% 2536-1645 (4181)
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 57.2¢	$186.15	$186.25	+$0.1	53% 1050-932 (1982)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Downavg 69¢	$148.19	$214.77	+$66.58	37% 374-624 (998)
13 13897651	Downavg 61.3¢	$108.09	$118.28	+$12.09	34% 517-1000 (1517)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 43.4¢	$111.7	$95	-$16.7	53% 938-848 (1786)
└ Down leg	Downavg 39.9¢	$37.95	$95	+$57.05
└ Up leg	Upavg 43.4¢	$73.75	—	-$73.75
wowitsamazing<$100	Downavg 63¢	$39	$61.9	+$22.9	43% 72-96 (168)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 60¢	$8.15	$13.58	+$5.43	74% 622-215 (837)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$7.25	$7.32	+$0.07	98% 1594-33 (1627)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 16¢	$1.32	—	-$1.32	44% 821-1039 (1860)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 34.4¢	$14.7	—	-$14.7	48% 838-904 (1742)
38 38791873984189<$100	Downavg 49¢	$2.18	$4.45	+$2.27	48% 1310-1415 (2725)
BY ByteBadger92<$100	Downavg 32.2¢	$6.91	$0.91	+$5.2	58% 1663-1228 (2891)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$2,594.22

Value

$2.3K

PnL

-$245.7

Record

51%

1054-1033 (2087)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$225.55

Value

$450

PnL

+$224.46

Record

61%

2536-1645 (4181)

Invested

$186.15

Value

$186.25

PnL

+$0.1

Record

53%

1050-932 (1982)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$148.19

Value

$214.77

PnL

+$66.58

Record

37%

374-624 (998)

Invested

$108.09

Value

$118.28

PnL

+$12.09

Record

34%

517-1000 (1517)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100

Invested

$111.7

Value

$95

PnL

-$16.7

Record

53%

938-848 (1786)

Both legs:

Down$37.9539.9¢+$57.05

Up$73.7543.4¢-$73.75

wowitsamazing<$100

Invested

$39

Value

$61.9

PnL

+$22.9

Record

43%

72-96 (168)

Invested

$8.15

Value

$13.58

PnL

+$5.43

Record

74%

622-215 (837)

Invested

$7.25

Value

$7.32

PnL

+$0.07

Record

98%

1594-33 (1627)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

44%

821-1039 (1860)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$14.7

Value

—

PnL

-$14.7

Record

48%

838-904 (1742)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$2.18

Value

$4.45

PnL

+$2.27

Record

48%

1310-1415 (2725)

ByteBadger92<$100

Invested

$6.91

Value

$0.91

PnL

+$5.2

Record

58%

1663-1228 (2891)

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 12 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa7061462...4cb929

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794406500

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $2.3K

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $450

ply-pm2

Down — $186.25

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $214.77

13897651

Down — $118.28

Polkadot-Frog

Arbitrage — excluded

wowitsamazing

Down — $61.9

BoneOhio

Down — $13.58

hoodquant

Down — $7.32

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

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