Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$2.1K
$42.1
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 45.3¢ | $728.19 | $906.74 | +$178.55 | 50% 917-899 (1816) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $611.82 | $618 | +$6.18 | 98% 1462-31 (1493) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.7¢ | $92.06 | — | -$92.06 | 33% 469-955 (1424) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 60.7¢ | $84.52 | $80 | -$4.52 | 53% 931-840 (1771) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 48¢ | $38.4 | $80 | +$41.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 60.7¢ | $46.12 | — | -$46.12 | |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 46.6¢ | $54.45 | $75 | +$24.95 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
0D 0x0dbd...fcd5 | Upavg 43.4¢ | $130.23 | $300 | +$169.77 | — |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $61.92 | — | -$61.92 | 48% 1202-1284 (2486) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 74.7¢ | $20.4 | — | -$20.4 | 45% 744-919 (1663) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $12.9 | $30 | +$17.1 | 44% 468-591 (1059) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $12.9 | $30 | +$17.1 | 50% 3699-3735 (7434) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $12.9 | $30 | +$17.1 | 44% 474-605 (1079) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 43.3¢ | $15.47 | $28 | +$12.53 | 48% 745-806 (1551) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Downavg 56.7¢ | $226.8 | — | -$226.8 | 61% 2461-1569 (4030) |
Invested
$728.19
Value
$906.74
PnL
+$178.55
Record
50%
917-899 (1816)
Invested
$611.82
Value
$618
PnL
+$6.18
Record
98%
1462-31 (1493)
Invested
$92.06
Value
—
PnL
-$92.06
Record
33%
469-955 (1424)
Invested
$84.52
Value
$80
PnL
-$4.52
Record
53%
931-840 (1771)
Both legs:
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$54.45
Value
$75
PnL
+$24.95
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
Invested
$130.23
Value
$300
PnL
+$169.77
Record
—
Invested
$61.92
Value
—
PnL
-$61.92
Record
48%
1202-1284 (2486)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$20.4
Value
—
PnL
-$20.4
Record
45%
744-919 (1663)
Invested
$12.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$17.1
Record
44%
468-591 (1059)
Invested
$12.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$17.1
Record
50%
3699-3735 (7434)
Invested
$12.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$17.1
Record
44%
474-605 (1079)
ohioism<$100Invested
$15.47
Value
$28
PnL
+$12.53
Record
48%
745-806 (1551)
Invested
$226.8
Value
—
PnL
-$226.8
Record
61%
2461-1569 (4030)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $906.74
hoodquant
Up — $618
13897651
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $75
0x0dbd...fcd5
Up — $300
38791873984189
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
almach
Up — $30
bosona
Up — $30