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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 60%

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

-$21.2

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,647

Combined PnL+$47.24

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares280

Combined PnL-$68.44

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 71.2¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$26.48	67% 102181-50515 (152696)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 87.5¢	$207.04	$220	+$12.96	59% 2870-1963 (4833)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 23.6¢	$58.54	—	-$58.54	56% 77137-59456 (136593)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 62¢	$17.4	$16.25	-$1.15	51% 10252-9748 (20000)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 40.7¢	$8.13	—	-$8.13	56% 60290-46856 (107146)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 85.2¢	$10.2	$10.29	+$0.09	56% 8539-6661 (15200)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 50.7¢	$11.15	$7	+$8.8	63% 60645-35108 (95753)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	89% 28835-3545 (32380)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Upavg 16¢	$1.12	—	-$1.12	55% 51515-41898 (93413)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 13¢	$0.65	—	-$0.65	48% 10435-11100 (21535)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$1,361.96

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$26.48

Record

67%

102181-50515 (152696)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$207.04

Value

$220

PnL

+$12.96

Record

59%

2870-1963 (4833)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$58.54

Value

—

PnL

-$58.54

Record

56%

77137-59456 (136593)

Invested

$17.4

Value

$16.25

PnL

-$1.15

Record

51%

10252-9748 (20000)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$8.13

Value

—

PnL

-$8.13

Record

56%

60290-46856 (107146)

Invested

$10.2

Value

$10.29

PnL

+$0.09

Record

56%

8539-6661 (15200)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$11.15

Value

$7

PnL

+$8.8

Record

63%

60645-35108 (95753)

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

89%

28835-3545 (32380)

Invested

$1.12

Value

—

PnL

-$1.12

Record

55%

51515-41898 (93413)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.65

Value

—

PnL

-$0.65

Record

48%

10435-11100 (21535)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x7ca28c45...1cf054

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1793951100

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $1.4K

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $220

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $16.25

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $10.29

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $7

hoodquant

Down — $5

bosona

Up — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

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