Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 58%

Total Value

$147.79

Combined PnL

-$45.06

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$147.79
Total Shares148
Combined PnL+$25.53
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares265
Combined PnL-$70.58
Down — 42%Up — 58%
AS
aswfadq1555<$100
Down

Invested

$50.61

Value

$69

PnL

+$18.39

Record

54%

15493-13384 (28877)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$24.4

Value

$20

PnL

-$4.4

Record

64%

59150-33699 (92849)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$19.05

Value

$19.29

PnL

+$0.24

Record

93%

24926-1843 (26769)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$18.95

Value

$20.43

PnL

+$1.48

Record

52%

8854-8304 (17158)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$10.92

Value

—

PnL

-$10.92

Record

58%

61523-44922 (106445)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.8

Value

—

PnL

-$5.8

Record

51%

20526-19621 (40147)

38
38791873984189<$100
Down

Invested

$9.25

Value

$19.07

PnL

+$9.82

Record

47%

13045-14637 (27682)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$34.5

Value

—

PnL

-$34.5

Record

57%

72603-55274 (127877)

13
13897651CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.14

Value

—

PnL

-$2.14

Record

59%

7250-5109 (12359)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.04

Value

—

PnL

-$1.04

Record

52%

91981-86383 (178364)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$16.13

Value

—

PnL

-$16.13

Record

48%

9308-10187 (19495)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

65%

113072-59880 (172952)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x1e300380...3d1376
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793637900

Traders in this Market

AS

aswfadq1555

Down — $69

+$18.39

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $20

-$4.4
HO

hoodquant

Down — $19.29

+$0.24
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $20.43

+$1.48
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Up — $0

-$10.92
DE

devonpoll

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.8
38

38791873984189

Down — $19.07

+$9.82
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$34.5
13

13897651

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.14
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.04
Trade on Polymarket