Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 31% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 31%
$1.2K
$25.04
Smart Money Signal
5 of 16 top traders (31%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 61.4¢ | $300.98 | $371.37 | +$156.52 | 54% 14642-12510 (27152) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Upavg 63.1¢ | $232.74 | — | -$232.74 | 54% 15489-13380 (28869) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 56.3¢ | $155.34 | — | -$155.34 | 52% 8844-8285 (17129) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 47.9¢ | $115.83 | $241.61 | +$125.78 | 47% 13042-14618 (27660) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.3¢ | $88.29 | — | -$88.29 | 59% 7241-5102 (12343) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 25.4¢ | $122.4 | $482.63 | +$360.23 | 57% 72578-55245 (127823) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.4¢ | $76.56 | — | -$65.31 | 64% 59147-33699 (92846) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 62.4¢ | $42.26 | — | -$38.51 | 64% 25933-14446 (40379) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 93% 24898-1840 (26738) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $13.84 | — | -$13.84 | 56% 59019-45596 (104615) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 35.3¢ | $12.75 | $30 | +$17.25 | 63% 40988-23603 (64591) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.8¢ | $11.7 | — | -$11.7 | 58% 51508-37574 (89082) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $9.2 | — | -$9.2 | 48% 9302-10178 (19480) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.5¢ | $20.25 | — | -$20.25 | 58% 61508-44911 (106419) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $12.8 | — | +$0.2 | 51% 20520-19613 (40133) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 65% 113055-59862 (172917) |
Invested
$300.98
Value
$371.37
PnL
+$156.52
Record
54%
14642-12510 (27152)
Invested
$232.74
Value
—
PnL
-$232.74
Record
54%
15489-13380 (28869)
Invested
$155.34
Value
—
PnL
-$155.34
Record
52%
8844-8285 (17129)
Invested
$115.83
Value
$241.61
PnL
+$125.78
Record
47%
13042-14618 (27660)
Invested
$88.29
Value
—
PnL
-$88.29
Record
59%
7241-5102 (12343)
Invested
$122.4
Value
$482.63
PnL
+$360.23
Record
57%
72578-55245 (127823)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$76.56
Value
—
PnL
-$65.31
Record
64%
59147-33699 (92846)
Invested
$42.26
Value
—
PnL
-$38.51
Record
64%
25933-14446 (40379)
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
93%
24898-1840 (26738)
Invested
$13.84
Value
—
PnL
-$13.84
Record
56%
59019-45596 (104615)
ohioism<$100Invested
$12.75
Value
$30
PnL
+$17.25
Record
63%
40988-23603 (64591)
Invested
$11.7
Value
—
PnL
-$11.7
Record
58%
51508-37574 (89082)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$9.2
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
48%
9302-10178 (19480)
Invested
$20.25
Value
—
PnL
-$20.25
Record
58%
61508-44911 (106419)
Invested
$12.8
Value
—
PnL
+$0.2
Record
51%
20520-19613 (40133)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
113055-59862 (172917)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
tmsd-test
Down — $371.37
aswfadq1555
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
38791873984189
Down — $241.61
13897651
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $482.63
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $30
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0