Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 70%
$697.79
-$70.74
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $438.84 | $443.52 | +$4.69 | 93% 24866-1838 (26704) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $99.05 | $98.83 | -$0.22 | 52% 8826-8271 (17097) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 43.2¢ | $43.73 | $91.25 | +$47.52 | 54% 15487-13374 (28861) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 26¢ | $114.35 | — | -$114.35 | 57% 72544-55201 (127745) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $20.12 | $20.21 | +$0.09 | 52% 91929-86332 (178261) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $16.75 | $20.4 | +$6.79 | 64% 25897-14422 (40319) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.4¢ | $20.71 | — | -$20.71 | 48% 9289-10165 (19454) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 59.8¢ | $10.19 | $12.51 | +$2.32 | 59% 7232-5095 (12327) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5.53 | $11.06 | +$5.53 | 58% 51506-37568 (89074) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 63% 40974-23588 (64562) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20517-19606 (40123) |
Invested
$438.84
Value
$443.52
PnL
+$4.69
Record
93%
24866-1838 (26704)
Invested
$99.05
Value
$98.83
PnL
-$0.22
Record
52%
8826-8271 (17097)
Invested
$43.73
Value
$91.25
PnL
+$47.52
Record
54%
15487-13374 (28861)
Invested
$114.35
Value
—
PnL
-$114.35
Record
57%
72544-55201 (127745)
Invested
$20.12
Value
$20.21
PnL
+$0.09
Record
52%
91929-86332 (178261)
Invested
$16.75
Value
$20.4
PnL
+$6.79
Record
64%
25897-14422 (40319)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$20.71
Value
—
PnL
-$20.71
Record
48%
9289-10165 (19454)
Invested
$10.19
Value
$12.51
PnL
+$2.32
Record
59%
7232-5095 (12327)
Invested
$5.53
Value
$11.06
PnL
+$5.53
Record
58%
51506-37568 (89074)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
63%
40974-23588 (64562)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20517-19606 (40123)