Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 61%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
-$283.92
Smart Money Signal
11 of 19 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 74¢ | $666.64 | $591.02 | -$75.62 | 67% 100201-48634 (148835) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 59.2¢ | $162.11 | $170.31 | +$8.2 | 52% 8720-8176 (16896) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 59.2¢ | $100.78 | $170.31 | +$69.53 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 34.3¢ | $61.33 | — | -$61.33 | |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 37.1¢ | $207.4 | — | -$207.4 | 57% 72361-55060 (127421) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $76 | $72.9 | -$3.1 | 54% 14606-12467 (27073) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 74.4¢ | $57.8 | $46.71 | -$11.09 | 55% 18785-15358 (34143) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 51.7¢ | $30.03 | $29.99 | -$0.04 | 54% 15451-13344 (28795) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 50.9¢ | $19.61 | $38.51 | +$18.9 | 53% 8788-7802 (16590) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $13.92 | $48 | +$34.08 | 48% 23559-25849 (49408) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $25.45 | $20 | +$4.51 | 64% 25690-14265 (39955) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $11.76 | — | -$11.76 | 47% 12949-14528 (27477) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $10.2 | $15 | +$4.8 | 46% 6086-7026 (13112) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.5¢ | $14.17 | — | -$14.17 | 62% 44500-27446 (71946) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $8.26 | — | -$8.26 | 63% 40871-23500 (64371) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.2¢ | $9.05 | — | -$9.05 | 56% 58856-45465 (104321) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.4¢ | $10.35 | — | -$10.35 | 58% 61328-44778 (106106) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 93% 24712-1827 (26539) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $5.2 | $10 | +$4.8 | 58% 38706-27758 (66464) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.8¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 52% 91694-86058 (177752) |
FA FatSlag<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $2.7 | $5.19 | +$2.49 | 49% 9448-9942 (19390) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20470-19540 (40010) |
Invested
$666.64
Value
$591.02
PnL
-$75.62
Record
67%
100201-48634 (148835)
Invested
$162.11
Value
$170.31
PnL
+$8.2
Record
52%
8720-8176 (16896)
Both legs:
Invested
$207.4
Value
—
PnL
-$207.4
Record
57%
72361-55060 (127421)
Invested
$76
Value
$72.9
PnL
-$3.1
Record
54%
14606-12467 (27073)
Invested
$57.8
Value
$46.71
PnL
-$11.09
Record
55%
18785-15358 (34143)
Invested
$30.03
Value
$29.99
PnL
-$0.04
Record
54%
15451-13344 (28795)
Invested
$19.61
Value
$38.51
PnL
+$18.9
Record
53%
8788-7802 (16590)
Invested
$13.92
Value
$48
PnL
+$34.08
Record
48%
23559-25849 (49408)
Invested
$25.45
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.51
Record
64%
25690-14265 (39955)
Invested
$11.76
Value
—
PnL
-$11.76
Record
47%
12949-14528 (27477)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$10.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.8
Record
46%
6086-7026 (13112)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$14.17
Value
—
PnL
-$14.17
Record
62%
44500-27446 (71946)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$8.26
Value
—
PnL
-$8.26
Record
63%
40871-23500 (64371)
Invested
$9.05
Value
—
PnL
-$9.05
Record
56%
58856-45465 (104321)
Invested
$10.35
Value
—
PnL
-$10.35
Record
58%
61328-44778 (106106)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
93%
24712-1827 (26539)
Invested
$5.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.8
Record
58%
38706-27758 (66464)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
52%
91694-86058 (177752)
Invested
$2.7
Value
$5.19
PnL
+$2.49
Record
49%
9448-9942 (19390)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20470-19540 (40010)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $591.02
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
tmsd-test
Down — $72.9
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $46.71
aswfadq1555
Down — $29.99
PBot-5
Down — $38.51
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down — $48
aaa221
Down — $20
38791873984189
CTRUp — $0