Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Up 21%
$728.31
-$200.37
Smart Money Signal
4 of 15 top traders (27%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 47.2Β’ | $270.82 | $415.64 | +$153.46 | 54% 14575-12419 (26994) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $262.43 | $265.08 | +$2.65 | 93% 24266-1810 (26076) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 52.1Β’ | $228.45 | β | -$228.45 | 51% 8377-7904 (16281) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 42.4Β’ | $47.87 | β | -$47.87 | 64% 58887-33445 (92332) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 71.8Β’ | $48.41 | $47.59 | +$13.18 | 64% 24825-13713 (38538) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 66.6Β’ | $27.98 | β | -$27.98 | 74% 103028-36547 (139575) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 33Β’ | $13.2 | β | -$13.2 | 58% 61065-44595 (105660) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.7Β’ | $12.5 | β | -$12.5 | 56% 58613-45263 (103876) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $7.44 | β | -$7.44 | 52% 91284-85731 (177015) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 61.6Β’ | $9.02 | β | -$9.02 | 58% 38470-27559 (66029) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $5 | β | -$5 | 58% 51342-37460 (88802) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.5Β’ | $7.1 | β | -$7.1 | 55% 18348-14925 (33273) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 14Β’ | $2.8 | β | -$2.8 | 62% 44267-27240 (71507) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 33.2Β’ | $8.3 | β | -$8.3 | 54% 15424-13316 (28740) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20362-19448 (39810) |
Invested
$270.82
Value
$415.64
PnL
+$153.46
Record
54%
14575-12419 (26994)
Invested
$262.43
Value
$265.08
PnL
+$2.65
Record
93%
24266-1810 (26076)
Invested
$228.45
Value
β
PnL
-$228.45
Record
51%
8377-7904 (16281)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$47.87
Value
β
PnL
-$47.87
Record
64%
58887-33445 (92332)
Invested
$48.41
Value
$47.59
PnL
+$13.18
Record
64%
24825-13713 (38538)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$27.98
Value
β
PnL
-$27.98
Record
74%
103028-36547 (139575)
Invested
$13.2
Value
β
PnL
-$13.2
Record
58%
61065-44595 (105660)
Invested
$12.5
Value
β
PnL
-$12.5
Record
56%
58613-45263 (103876)
Invested
$7.44
Value
β
PnL
-$7.44
Record
52%
91284-85731 (177015)
Invested
$9.02
Value
β
PnL
-$9.02
Record
58%
38470-27559 (66029)
Invested
$5
Value
β
PnL
-$5
Record
58%
51342-37460 (88802)
Invested
$7.1
Value
β
PnL
-$7.1
Record
55%
18348-14925 (33273)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
β
PnL
-$2.8
Record
62%
44267-27240 (71507)
Invested
$8.3
Value
β
PnL
-$8.3
Record
54%
15424-13316 (28740)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20362-19448 (39810)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
tmsd-test
Up β $415.64
hoodquant
Up β $265.08
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown β $0
aaa221
Up β $47.59

BoneOhio
CTRDown β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0