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rayvanmechelenNoYesYes
VeryLucky888CTR<$100YesYes
tradecraftCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Cultural Leonesa win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 17%
Total Value
$441.02
Combined PnL
-$21.94
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 6 top traders (17%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$441.02
Total Shares441
Combined PnL+$142.26
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares513
Combined PnL-$164.2
No — 17%Yes — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
rayvanmechelen | Noavg 67.7¢ | $298.76 | $441.02 | +$142.26 | 11% 36-290 (326) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 32¢ | $50.53 | — | -$50.53 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | $38.49 | — | -$38.49 | 55% 499-401 (900) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 32¢ | $64 | — | -$59.24 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.9¢ | $3.99 | — | -$3.99 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 31.6¢ | $11.95 | — | -$11.95 | 31% 355-790 (1145) |
rayvanmechelenInvested
$298.76
Value
$441.02
PnL
+$142.26
Record
11%
36-290 (326)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$50.53
Value
—
PnL
-$50.53
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
$38.49
Value
—
PnL
-$38.49
Record
55%
499-401 (900)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$64
Value
—
PnL
-$59.24
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$3.99
Value
—
PnL
-$3.99
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$11.95
Value
—
PnL
-$11.95
Record
31%
355-790 (1145)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe40f7a49...920b40
Slug
es3-udi-leo-2026-11-14-leo