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Yes
VeryLucky888<$100Yes
tradecraft<$100YesNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Merida AD win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$109.78
Combined PnL
$15.68
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$109.78
Total Shares110
Combined PnL+$25.26
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares18
Combined PnL-$9.58
Yes — 60%No — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Yesavg 98¢ | $64.95 | $66.28 | +$1.33 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Yesavg 45¢ | $20.7 | $41 | +$22.55 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
tradecraft<$100 | Yesavg 45¢ | $1.13 | $2.51 | +$1.38 | 31% 355-790 (1145) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Noavg 55¢ | $6.88 | — | -$6.88 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 54¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 36% 975-1701 (2676) |
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$64.95
Value
$66.28
PnL
+$1.33
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$20.7
Value
$41
PnL
+$22.55
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$1.13
Value
$2.51
PnL
+$1.38
Record
31%
355-790 (1145)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$6.88
Value
—
PnL
-$6.88
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
36%
975-1701 (2676)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x30d162e2...6b34c5
Slug
es3-our-mer-2026-11-14-mer