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UnderUnderOverUnderOverUnder
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Real Murcia CF vs. AD Alcorcon: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Under 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
$82.8
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$828.25
Total Shares828
Combined PnL+$173.54
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares514
Combined PnL-$90.74
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 74.3¢ | $668.76 | $672.7 | +$3.93 | 48% 4837-5163 (10000) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 74.3¢ | $500.1 | $672.7 | +$172.6 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 21.3¢ | $168.66 | — | -$168.66 | |
SU suntori | Underavg 79¢ | $634.28 | $802.76 | +$168.48 | 46% 3415-3955 (7370) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 17¢ | $79 | — | -$79 | 52% 2600-2380 (4980) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Underavg 75¢ | $15 | $20 | +$5 | 42% 771-1083 (1854) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 24¢ | $11.74 | — | -$11.74 | 35% 674-1226 (1900) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Underavg 99¢ | $5.44 | $5.49 | +$0.05 | 98% 698-11 (709) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$668.76
Value
$672.7
PnL
+$3.93
Record
48%
4837-5163 (10000)
Both legs:
Under$500.174.3¢+$172.6
Over$168.6621.3¢-$168.66
SU
suntoriInvested
$634.28
Value
$802.76
PnL
+$168.48
Record
46%
3415-3955 (7370)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$79
Value
—
PnL
-$79
Record
52%
2600-2380 (4980)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$15
Value
$20
PnL
+$5
Record
42%
771-1083 (1854)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$11.74
Value
—
PnL
-$11.74
Record
35%
674-1226 (1900)
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100Invested
$5.44
Value
$5.49
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
698-11 (709)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x37bb8727...eff08b
Slug
es3-mur-alc-2026-11-15-total-3pt5